KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
69-93 | Road
1
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
84-78 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Michael Wacha
#52 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Davis Martin
#65 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha | 5-5 | 3.31 | 1.16 | 7.2 | 7 |
| Davis Martin | 9-3 | 3.00 | 1.20 | 5.1 | 3 |
5-5
W-L
9-3
3.31
ERA
Ldr 3.00
1.16 Ldr
WHIP
1.20
7.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
5.1
7 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
3
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
44%
WHITE SOX
56%
ROYALS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
62%
Under 0
38%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
KC By 1-2 runs
17.0%
KC By 3-4 runs
11.5%
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.4%
CHW By 3-4 runs
15.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
4.2
KANSAS CITY
Chicago
4.9
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Kansas City
4
KANSAS CITY
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
White Sox
Win
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Win
62% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
White Sox (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
C
Sim
Royals (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.1
B
Sim
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 24, 2026
CHW @ KC
9 - 1
Sep 23, 2026
CHW @ KC
4 - 5
Sep 22, 2026
CHW @ KC
14 - 11
Jun 28, 2026
KC @ CHW
5 - 4
Jun 27, 2026
KC @ CHW
1 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Kansas City
KC
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.26
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.718
OPS
▲
.826
170
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+164.0% more
Chicago: 2.6
vs
Kansas City: 1.0
Hits (L5)
+117.3% more
Chicago: 12.5
vs
Kansas City: 5.8
Total Bases (L5)
+104.0% more
Chicago: 22.4
vs
Kansas City: 11.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+43.2% more
Chicago: 10.2
vs
Kansas City: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
4.2
1
CHW Score
4.9
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.5
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
12.5 / 5.8
10.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
2.6 / 1.0
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.2 / 7.1
9.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
22.4 / 11.0
10.0 / 8.0
Walks
3.9 / 4.6
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
KC
CHW
KC
ML
49%
81-86
55%
89-72
56%
94-73
56%
90-70
ATS
59%
99-68
57%
91-70
56%
93-74
58%
93-67
TTL
58%
96-69-2
58%
90-64-7
51%
84-81-2
54%
83-70-7
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