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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

64-98  |  Road

9
FINAL
Fri, Jun 26 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

62-100  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Elvis Alvarado
STARTING PITCHER

Elvis Alvarado

#37 | Relief Pitcher
@
Walbert Urena
STARTING PITCHER

Walbert Urena

#57 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Elvis Alvarado None-None 5.91 -- 1.0 1
Walbert Urena 5-5 3.14 1.31 4.1 5
None-None W-L 5-5
5.91 ERA Ldr 3.14
-- WHIP 1.31
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 4.1
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
53%
📊
ANGELS
47%
ATHLETICS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 64%
Under 0 36%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Athletics)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

53.0%

Angels Cover

47.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

ATH By 1-2 runs

18.9%

ATH By 3-4 runs

14.4%

LAA By 1-2 runs

17.9%

LAA By 3-4 runs

12.7%

AI Model Projected Score
5.1
ATHLETICS
4.8
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
ATHLETICS
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Athletics Win
53% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
68% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Athletics (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -0.3
B
Sim Angels (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o8.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.9
B
Sim o8.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 23, 2026 LAA @ ATH 3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026 LAA @ ATH 7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026 ATH @ LAA 1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 ATH @ LAA 2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATH @ LAA 9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.31 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.719 ▲
OPS
.679
194 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +21.9% more
Athletics: 3.7 vs Los Angeles: 2.9
Home Runs (Season) +20.6% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season) +6.3% more
Athletics: 4.3 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
OPS (Season) +4.0%
Athletics: 71.9% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 5.1 9
LAA Score 4.8 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.0 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.5 / 8.5 9.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 0.7 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 10.3 / 10.9 10.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 13.8 / 11.9 14.0 / 11.0
Walks 2.9 / 3.7 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
ATH
LAA
ATH
ML
59% 96-66
59% 95-67
55% 89-73
54% 87-74
ATS
60% 97-65
52% 84-78
51% 82-80
50% 81-80
TTL
53% 83-74-5
54% 84-73-5
52% 82-75-5
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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