CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
89-73 | Road
2
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
103-59 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Colin Rea
#53 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Misiorowski
#32 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Rea | 5-5 | 4.80 | 1.40 | 5.0 | 4 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | 8-3 | 1.45 | 0.75 | 6.0 | 8 |
5-5
W-L
8-3
4.80
ERA
Ldr 1.45
1.40
WHIP
Ldr 0.75
5.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
4
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 8
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
63%
BREWERS
37%
CUBS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
86%
Under 0
14%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.4
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL +1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
CHC By 1-2 runs
19.7%
CHC By 3-4 runs
17.2%
MIL By 1-2 runs
15.3%
MIL By 3-4 runs
9.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
6.4
CHICAGO
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Cubs
Loss
63% Win Prob
B
Sim
Brewers
Win
65% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.4
A
Sim
Cubs (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 11.4
A
Sim
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
CHC @ MIL
6 - 8
Sep 8, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 7, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 3, 2026
MIL @ CHC
1 - 2
Sep 2, 2026
MIL @ CHC
9 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHC
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
2
Games Played
▲
162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.374
OPS
▲
.743
0
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+37.6% more
Chicago: 1.4
vs
Milwaukee: 0.9
Total Bases (L5)
+11.6% more
Chicago: 15.4
vs
Milwaukee: 13.6
Home Runs (Season)
+15400.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+464.0% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHC Score
6.4
2
MIL Score
5.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.4
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.2 / 8.5
11.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.4
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.8 / 8.0
8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
13.6 / 15.4
22.0 / 6.0
Walks
4.2 / 4.3
7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CHC
MIL
CHC
ML
62%
101-61
58%
93-68
52%
84-78
51%
82-79
ATS
58%
94-68
61%
97-63-1
48%
78-84
47%
75-85-1
TTL
40%
62-92-8
52%
81-74-6
50%
77-77-8
46%
72-83-6
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