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KANSAS CITY

ROYALSKC

69-93  |  Road

1
FINAL
Fri, Jun 26 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

84-78  |  Home

22
Probable Pitchers
Tyler Tolbert
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Tolbert

#2 | Shortstop
@
David Sandlin
STARTING PITCHER

David Sandlin

#54 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tyler Tolbert None-None 17.18 -- 1.0 --
David Sandlin 1-1 8.10 1.43 13.1 14
None-None W-L 1-1
17.18 ERA Ldr 8.10
-- WHIP 1.43
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 13.1
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 14
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
47%
📊
WHITE SOX
53%
ROYALS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 66%
Under 0 34%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Chicago)
RoyalsKC (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Royals Cover

48.0%

White Sox Cover

52.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

KC By 1-2 runs

18.1%

KC By 3-4 runs

13.0%

CHW By 1-2 runs

18.7%

CHW By 3-4 runs

14.1%

AI Model Projected Score
5
KANSAS CITY
5.2
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
KANSAS CITY
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI White Sox Win
53% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Win
65% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI White Sox (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -0.2
B
Sim White Sox (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o8.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.2
A
Sim u8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 24, 2026 CHW @ KC 9 - 1
Sep 23, 2026 CHW @ KC 4 - 5
Sep 22, 2026 CHW @ KC 14 - 11
Jun 28, 2026 KC @ CHW 5 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 KC @ CHW 1 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Kansas City KC
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.26
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.718
OPS
▲ .826
170 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +66.7% more
Chicago: 10.3 vs Kansas City: 6.2
Errors (L5) +64.0% more
Chicago: 0.9 vs Kansas City: 0.3
Runs per Game (Season) +40.8% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Kansas City: 4.3
Walks (L5) +31.7% more
Chicago: 4.4 vs Kansas City: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KC Score 5.0 1
CHW Score 5.2 22
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.9 / 0.3 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.3 / 6.7 23.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 1.5 5.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 10.3 / 6.2 10.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 13.1 / 13.0 41.0 / 7.0
Walks 4.4 / 3.3 3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
92%MONEY8%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
69-93-0 (42.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: +0.6
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
KC
CHW
KC
ML
49% 81-86
55% 89-72
56% 94-73
56% 90-70
ATS
59% 99-68
57% 91-70
56% 93-74
58% 93-67
TTL
58% 96-69-2
58% 90-64-7
51% 84-81-2
54% 83-70-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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