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MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

48-29  |  Road

6
FINAL
Wed, Jun 24 • 7:10 PM ET
Great American Ball Park
View Odds Details →

CINCINNATI

REDSCIN

37-41  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Grant Anderson
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Anderson

#56 | Relief Pitcher
@
Brock Burke
STARTING PITCHER

Brock Burke

#49 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Grant Anderson None-None 3.41 -- 0.2 --
Brock Burke None-None 2.89 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.41 ERA Ldr 2.89
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
58%
📊
REDS
42%
BREWERS --
REDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 41%
Under 0 59%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.8
CINCINNATI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 RedsCIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

42.1%

Reds Cover

57.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CIN +0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIN)

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.4%

MIL By 3-4 runs

15.8%

CIN By 1-2 runs

16.8%

CIN By 3-4 runs

11.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4.6
MILWAUKEE
3.8
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
4
MILWAUKEE
6
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Brewers Win
58% Win Prob
C
Sim Reds Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Reds (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +0.8
C
Sim Reds (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u9.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.4
B
Sim o9.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2026 CIN @ MIL 4 - 3
Sep 12, 2026 CIN @ MIL 9 - 13
Sep 11, 2026 CIN @ MIL 0 - 20
Sep 6, 2026 MIL @ CIN 8 - 12
Sep 5, 2026 MIL @ CIN 3 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Cincinnati CIN
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.11
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.229
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.305
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.394
.743 ▲
OPS
.699
154
Home Runs
▲ 213
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +30.7% more
Milwaukee: 6.8 vs Cincinnati: 4.7
Total Bases (L5) +21.9% more
Milwaukee: 9.4 vs Cincinnati: 7.3
Runs per Game (Season) +20.0% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Cincinnati: 4.1
OPS (Season) +4.4%
Milwaukee: 74.3% vs Cincinnati: 69.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 4.6 6
CIN Score 3.8 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.0 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 4.7 / 6.8 11.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 0.4 / 0.3 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 10.8 / 11.7 8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 7.3 / 9.4 18.0 / 22.0
Walks 3.8 / 0.8 4.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
36%MONEY64%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
CIN
75-87-0 (46.3%)
Margin: -1.0 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
MIL
CIN
MIL
ML
55% 88-71
62% 101-61
49% 79-81
52% 84-78
ATS
54% 86-73
58% 94-68
50% 80-80
48% 78-84
TTL
53% 81-73-5
40% 62-92-8
54% 83-72-5
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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