CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
41-39 | Road
4
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
41-37 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cade Smith
#36 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Taylor
#31 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Smith | None-None | 3.22 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
| Grant Taylor | None-None | 2.97 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.22
ERA
Ldr 2.97
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
60%
WHITE SOX
40%
GUARDIANS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
59%
Under 0
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.1
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW +1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CLE By 3-4 runs
16.6%
CHW By 1-2 runs
16.1%
CHW By 3-4 runs
10.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
5.2
CLEVELAND
Chicago
4.1
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Cleveland
4
CLEVELAND
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
White Sox
Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.1
D
Sim
White Sox (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.3
B
Sim
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
CLE @ CHW
9 - 3
Oct 5, 2026
CHW @ CLE
4 - 3
Oct 3, 2026
CHW @ CLE
3 - 0
Sep 16, 2026
CHW @ CLE
3 - 6
Sep 15, 2026
CHW @ CLE
6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.696
OPS
▲
.826
162
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.4% more
Cleveland: 162.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+10.0% more
Cleveland: 0.5
vs
Chicago: 0.4
Hits (L5)
+9.5% more
Cleveland: 6.6
vs
Chicago: 6.0
Walks (L5)
+81.8% more
Chicago: 3.6
vs
Cleveland: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
5.2
4
CHW Score
4.1
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.5
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.0 / 6.6
10.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.9
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.4 / 10.1
12.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
11.1 / 10.8
17.0 / 8.0
Walks
3.6 / 2.0
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
CLE
CHW
CLE
ML
49%
81-86
54%
87-74
56%
94-73
49%
80-82
ATS
59%
99-68
58%
93-68
56%
93-74
59%
95-67
TTL
58%
96-69-2
55%
88-71-2
51%
84-81-2
43%
69-90-2
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