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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

38-41  |  Road

1
FINAL
Tue, Jun 23 • 9:45 PM ET
Oracle Park
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

32-46  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Jose Suarez
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Suarez

#54 | Relief Pitcher
@
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Daniel Susac

#6 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jose Suarez None-None 5.27 -- 1.2 1
Daniel Susac None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
5.27 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.2 IP (Innings Pitched) --
1 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
55%
📊
GIANTS
45%
ATHLETICS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 54%
Under 0 46%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.5
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 GiantsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

45.0%

Giants Cover

55.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF +0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.1%

ATH By 3-4 runs

15.0%

SF By 1-2 runs

17.5%

SF By 3-4 runs

12.1%

AI Model Projected Score
5
ATHLETICS
4.5
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
3
ATHLETICS
6
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Athletics Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Win
65% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Giants (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +0.5
A
Sim Giants (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 9.5
C
Sim u9.0 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 25, 2026 ATH @ SF 9 - 6
Jun 24, 2026 ATH @ SF 1 - 2
Jun 23, 2026 ATH @ SF 1 - 3
May 17, 2026 SF @ ATH 10 - 1
May 16, 2026 SF @ ATH 6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
San Francisco SF
162
Games Played
162
4.31 ▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.245
Avg (AVG)
.245
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.402 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.719 ▲
OPS
.706
194 ▲
Home Runs
178
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +37.5% more
Athletics: 10.2 vs San Francisco: 6.3
Walks (L5) +27.3% more
Athletics: 3.7 vs San Francisco: 2.7
Home Runs (L5) +27.0% more
Athletics: 1.5 vs San Francisco: 1.1
Home Runs (Season) +8.2% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs San Francisco: 178.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 5.0 1
SF Score 4.5 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.3 / 0.1 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.6 / 7.9 9.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 1.5 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 6.3 / 10.2 7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 13.4 / 14.1 13.0 / 3.0
Walks 2.7 / 3.7 5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
54%MONEY46%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
ATH
SF
ATH
ML
49% 79-81
59% 95-67
53% 85-75
54% 87-74
ATS
62% 100-60
52% 84-78
52% 83-77
50% 81-80
TTL
55% 82-68-10
54% 84-73-5
46% 68-81-11
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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