Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Twins LAD @ MIN

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

51-29  |  Road

12
FINAL
Tue, Jun 23 • 7:40 PM ET
Target Field
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

38-43  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Brock Stewart
STARTING PITCHER

Brock Stewart

#41 | Relief Pitcher
@
Taylor Rogers
STARTING PITCHER

Taylor Rogers

#55 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Brock Stewart None-None 3.00 -- 1.0 1
Taylor Rogers None-None 6.30 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.00 Ldr ERA 6.30
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
49%
📊
TWINS
51%
DODGERS --
TWINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 78%
Under 0 22%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Minnesota)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 TwinsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

48.0%

Twins Cover

52.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

LAD By 1-2 runs

18.1%

LAD By 3-4 runs

13.0%

MIN By 1-2 runs

18.7%

MIN By 3-4 runs

14.1%

AI Model Projected Score
6
LOS ANGELES
6.2
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
6
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Twins Loss
51% Win Prob
D
Sim Twins Loss
63% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Twins (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
B
Sim Twins (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o9.0 Win
Proj Total: 12.2
A
Sim o9.0 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 24, 2026 LAD @ MIN 4 - 3
Jun 23, 2026 LAD @ MIN 12 - 3
Jun 22, 2026 LAD @ MIN 2 - 1
Jul 23, 2025 MIN @ LAD 3 - 4
Jul 22, 2025 MIN @ LAD 10 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Minnesota MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.762 ▲
OPS
.720
204 ▲
Home Runs
187
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +29.2% more
Minnesota: 9.6 vs Los Angeles: 7.4
Errors (L5) +29.0% more
Minnesota: 0.4 vs Los Angeles: 0.1
Total Bases (L5) +26.7% more
Minnesota: 15.4 vs Los Angeles: 12.1
Home Runs (Season) +8.3% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Minnesota: 187.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 6.0 12
MIN Score 6.2 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.1 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 9.6 / 7.4 7.0 / 17.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.2 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.3 / 7.8 10.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 15.4 / 12.1 14.0 / 24.0
Walks 4.0 / 4.0 7.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
92%MONEY8%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
91%MONEY9%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
MIN Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
LAD
MIN
LAD
ML
52% 84-78
56% 92-73
50% 80-81
48% 79-87
ATS
59% 95-67
59% 98-67
59% 95-66
43% 72-94
TTL
51% 78-75-9
48% 77-82-6
53% 80-72-9
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
yahoo 2 hours ago
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
si 2 hours, 8 minutes ago
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
yahoo 2 hours, 11 minutes ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 2 hours, 18 minutes ago
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
yardbarker 2 hours, 19 minutes ago