BALTIMORE
ORIOLESBAL
36-42 | Road
3
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
49-28 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Yennier Cano
#78 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Alex Vesia
#51 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yennier Cano | None-None | 2.08 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
| Alex Vesia | None-None | 2.49 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.08 Ldr
ERA
2.49
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
ORIOLES
32%
DODGERS
68%
ORIOLES
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
BAL By 1-2 runs
16.3%
BAL By 3-4 runs
10.6%
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.6%
LAD By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Baltimore
5
BALTIMORE
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Baltimore
4
BALTIMORE
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Loss
68% Win Prob
A
Sim
Dodgers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
A
Sim
Orioles (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
A
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 21, 2026
BAL @ LAD
12 - 1
Jun 20, 2026
BAL @ LAD
3 - 2
Jun 19, 2026
BAL @ LAD
5 - 6
Sep 7, 2025
LAD @ BAL
5 - 2
Sep 6, 2025
LAD @ BAL
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Baltimore
BAL
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
161
Games Played
▲
162
4.46
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.711
OPS
▲
.762
199
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+39.3% more
Los Angeles: 9.2
vs
Baltimore: 6.6
Total Bases (L5)
+32.0% more
Los Angeles: 14.9
vs
Baltimore: 11.3
Runs per Game (Season)
+10.8% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Baltimore: 4.5
OPS (Season)
+5.1%
Los Angeles: 76.2%
vs
Baltimore: 71.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BAL Score
5.0
3
LAD Score
6.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 1.1
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.2 / 6.6
4.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.2
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.5 / 10.2
11.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
14.9 / 11.3
7.0 / 8.0
Walks
2.5 / 4.3
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BAL
79-82-0
(49.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BAL
Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
BAL
LAD
BAL
ML
56%
92-73
53%
83-73
48%
79-87
57%
90-69
ATS
59%
98-67
61%
95-60-1
43%
72-94
57%
90-68-1
TTL
48%
77-82-6
54%
81-70-5
44%
70-90-6
51%
78-75-6
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