Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Athletics LAA @ ATH

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

31-47  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Jun 20 • 10:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

38-39  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Samy Natera Jr.
STARTING PITCHER

Samy Natera Jr.

#52 | Relief Pitcher
@
Alika Williams
STARTING PITCHER

Alika Williams

#12 | Shortstop
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Samy Natera Jr. None-None 0.00 -- 1.1 2
Alika Williams None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.1 IP (Innings Pitched) --
2 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
33%
📊
ATHLETICS
67%
ANGELS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

77.3%

Athletics Cover

22.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

18.4%

LAA By 3-4 runs

19.6%

ATH By 1-2 runs

10.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

5.4%

AI Model Projected Score
6
LOS ANGELES
3
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
6
LOS ANGELES
4
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Win
33% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
B
Sim Angels (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u9.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim o9.5 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 23, 2026 LAA @ ATH 3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026 LAA @ ATH 7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026 ATH @ LAA 1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 ATH @ LAA 2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATH @ LAA 9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.31
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .402
.679
OPS
▲ .719
154
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +60.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.7 vs Athletics: 0.1
Walks (L5) +19.0% more
Los Angeles: 5.1 vs Athletics: 4.1
Strikeouts (L5) +53.9% more
Athletics: 10.3 vs Los Angeles: 6.7
Home Runs (Season) +26.0% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 6.0 7
ATH Score 3.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.7 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 10.0 / 8.7 5.0 / 13.0
Home Runs 2.7 / 2.3 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 10.3 / 6.7 7.0 / 13.0
Total Bases 20.0 / 17.7 7.0 / 22.0
Walks 4.1 / 5.1 4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
LAA
ATH
LAA
ML
59% 95-67
59% 96-66
54% 87-74
55% 89-73
ATS
52% 84-78
60% 97-65
50% 81-80
51% 82-80
TTL
54% 84-73-5
53% 83-74-5
42% 66-90-5
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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