Home / MLB Projections MLB / Orioles @ Dodgers BAL @ LAD

BALTIMORE

ORIOLESBAL

37-42  |  Road

12
FINAL
Sun, Jun 21 • 4:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

49-29  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Grant Wolfram
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Wolfram

#48 | Relief Pitcher
@
Edgardo Henriquez
STARTING PITCHER

Edgardo Henriquez

#60 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Grant Wolfram None-None 3.74 -- 2.0 --
Edgardo Henriquez None-None 3.03 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
3.74 ERA Ldr 3.03
-- WHIP --
2.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
ORIOLES
52%
📊
DODGERS
48%
ORIOLES --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 15%
Under 0 85%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
OriolesBAL (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Orioles Cover

48.0%

Dodgers Cover

52.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD +0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

BAL By 1-2 runs

18.7%

BAL By 3-4 runs

14.1%

LAD By 1-2 runs

18.1%

LAD By 3-4 runs

13.0%

AI Model Projected Score
4.2
BALTIMORE
4
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
BALTIMORE
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Orioles Win
52% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +0.2
D
Sim Orioles (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI u9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 8.2
A
Sim u9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 21, 2026 BAL @ LAD 12 - 1
Jun 20, 2026 BAL @ LAD 3 - 2
Jun 19, 2026 BAL @ LAD 5 - 6
Sep 7, 2025 LAD @ BAL 5 - 2
Sep 6, 2025 LAD @ BAL 3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Baltimore BAL
vs
Los Angeles LAD
161
Games Played
▲ 162
4.46
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.711
OPS
▲ .762
199
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +87.0% more
Baltimore: 1.1 vs Los Angeles: 0.1
Walks (L5) +22.4% more
Baltimore: 3.8 vs Los Angeles: 3.0
Home Runs (L5) +34.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.2 vs Baltimore: 0.8
Total Bases (L5) +20.4% more
Los Angeles: 12.3 vs Baltimore: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BAL Score 4.2 12
LAD Score 4.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 1.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.5 / 6.7 5.0 / 15.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 0.8 0.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts 9.3 / 9.8 9.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 12.3 / 10.2 6.0 / 32.0
Walks 3.0 / 3.8 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BAL
79-82-0 (49.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BAL Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.5
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
BAL
LAD
BAL
ML
56% 92-73
53% 83-73
48% 79-87
57% 90-69
ATS
59% 98-67
61% 95-60-1
43% 72-94
57% 90-68-1
TTL
48% 77-82-6
54% 81-70-5
44% 70-90-6
51% 78-75-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 56 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 6 hours, 46 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 12 hours, 52 minutes ago
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
newsweek 18 hours, 33 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 18 hours, 56 minutes ago