MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
38-41 | Road
4
ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
39-38 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Yoendrys Gomez
#94 | Relief Pitcher@
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Thompson
#81 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoendrys Gomez | None-None | 3.65 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Ryan Thompson | None-None | 2.73 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.65
ERA
Ldr 2.73
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
54%
DIAMONDBACKS
46%
TWINS
--
DIAMONDBACKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
67%
Under 0
33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.5
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ARI +0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.1%
MIN By 3-4 runs
15.0%
ARI By 1-2 runs
17.5%
ARI By 3-4 runs
12.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
5.1
MINNESOTA
Arizona
4.6
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Arizona
5
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Twins
Win
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Diamondbacks
Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Diamondbacks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +0.5
A
Sim
Twins (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.7
A
Sim
u9.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 21, 2026
MIN @ ARI
4 - 2
Jun 20, 2026
MIN @ ARI
16 - 8
Jun 19, 2026
MIN @ ARI
5 - 9
Sep 14, 2025
ARI @ MIN
6 - 4
Sep 13, 2025
ARI @ MIN
5 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Arizona
ARI
162
Games Played
162
4.56
Runs / Game
4.56
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.246
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.318
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.720
OPS
.720
187
▲
Home Runs
166
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+52.9% more
Minnesota: 2.0
vs
Arizona: 1.0
Total Bases (L5)
+39.1% more
Minnesota: 23.6
vs
Arizona: 14.3
Hits (L5)
+35.1% more
Minnesota: 13.8
vs
Arizona: 9.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+31.0% more
Minnesota: 8.4
vs
Arizona: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
5.1
4
ARI Score
4.6
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.3
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.0 / 13.8
6.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 2.0
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
5.8 / 8.4
5.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
14.3 / 23.6
7.0 / 13.0
Walks
4.4 / 4.2
1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ARI
Advantage
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
MIN
ARI
MIN
ML
54%
87-74
52%
84-78
54%
86-74
50%
80-81
ATS
57%
91-70
59%
95-67
56%
89-71
59%
95-66
TTL
52%
80-73-8
51%
78-75-9
49%
73-77-9
53%
80-72-9
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