SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
31-46 | Road
1
MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
40-38 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Logan Webb
#62 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Michael Petersen
#49 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb | None-None | 3.35 | -- | 8.0 | 5 |
| Michael Petersen | None-None | 3.34 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.35
ERA
Ldr 3.34
--
WHIP
--
8.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
5 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
57%
MARLINS
43%
GIANTS
--
MARLINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
82%
Under 0
19%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.9
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIA +0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
SF By 1-2 runs
19.5%
SF By 3-4 runs
16.1%
MIA By 1-2 runs
16.6%
MIA By 3-4 runs
10.9%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
6.6
SAN FRANCISCO
Miami
5.7
MIAMI
Simulated Score
San Francisco
3
SAN FRANCISCO
Miami
5
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Giants
Loss
57% Win Prob
C
Sim
Marlins
Win
65% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Marlins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +0.9
C
Sim
Marlins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 12.3
A
Sim
u8.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 21, 2026
SF @ MIA
1 - 2
Jun 20, 2026
SF @ MIA
3 - 6
Jun 19, 2026
SF @ MIA
3 - 4
Apr 26, 2026
MIA @ SF
3 - 6
Apr 25, 2026
MIA @ SF
2 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco
SF
vs
Miami
MIA
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲
4.41
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.249
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.326
.400
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.706
OPS
▲
.727
178
▲
Home Runs
168
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+72.5% more
San Francisco: 1.9
vs
Miami: 0.5
Walks (L5)
+19.4% more
San Francisco: 3.6
vs
Miami: 2.9
Total Bases (L5)
+17.5% more
San Francisco: 17.6
vs
Miami: 14.5
Hits (L5)
+17.2% more
San Francisco: 9.4
vs
Miami: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
6.6
1
MIA Score
5.7
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 1.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.8 / 9.4
5.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 1.7
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.5 / 7.0
6.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
14.5 / 17.6
9.0 / 5.0
Walks
2.9 / 3.6
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
MIA
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
SF
MIA
SF
ML
48%
78-84
49%
79-81
55%
88-72
53%
85-75
ATS
56%
91-71
62%
100-60
54%
86-74
52%
83-77
TTL
56%
88-69-5
55%
82-68-10
53%
82-73-5
46%
68-81-11
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