CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
39-37 | Road
4
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
33-44 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jordan Hicks
#44 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kyle Finnegan
#67 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hicks | None-None | 5.60 | -- | -- | -- |
| Kyle Finnegan | None-None | 2.02 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.60
ERA
Ldr 2.02
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
39%
TIGERS
61%
WHITE SOX
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CHW By 1-2 runs
16.1%
CHW By 3-4 runs
10.3%
DET By 1-2 runs
19.6%
DET By 3-4 runs
16.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.6
CHICAGO
Detroit
4.7
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
Tigers
Win
58% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.1
A
Sim
White Sox (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.3
D
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026
DET @ CHW
11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026
CHW @ DET
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Detroit
DET
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.826
▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+18000.0% more
Detroit: 181.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+25.7% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Detroit: 4.5
Home Runs (L5)
+15.1% more
Chicago: 1.7
vs
Detroit: 1.4
OPS (Season)
+10.6%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Detroit: 72.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.6
4
DET Score
4.7
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.7
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.8 / 6.3
13.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 1.7
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 7.9
7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
12.3 / 12.6
18.0 / 10.0
Walks
3.1 / 3.4
0.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHW
DET
CHW
ML
54%
86-73
49%
81-86
54%
87-73
56%
94-73
ATS
64%
101-58
59%
99-68
57%
91-69
56%
93-74
TTL
46%
69-81-9
58%
96-69-2
46%
69-81-10
51%
84-81-2
Contextual Game News
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