CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
39-36 | Road
1
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
32-44 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Chris Murphy
#38 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kenley Jansen
#74 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Murphy | None-None | 5.54 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | None-None | 4.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.54
ERA
Ldr 4.00
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
45%
TIGERS
55%
WHITE SOX
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
CHW By 1-2 runs
16.3%
CHW By 3-4 runs
19.6%
DET By 1-2 runs
7.8%
DET By 3-4 runs
3.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
8
CHICAGO
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
White Sox
Loss
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
A
Sim
White Sox (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 12.0
C
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026
DET @ CHW
11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026
CHW @ DET
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Detroit
DET
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.826
▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+25.7% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Detroit: 4.5
Home Runs (L5)
+18.2% more
Chicago: 2.0
vs
Detroit: 1.6
Total Bases (L5)
+13.2% more
Chicago: 14.9
vs
Detroit: 12.9
OPS (Season)
+10.6%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Detroit: 72.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
8.0
1
DET Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.6
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.7 / 7.4
7.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 2.0
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.4 / 8.4
7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
12.9 / 14.9
11.0 / 8.0
Walks
2.6 / 2.6
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHW
DET
CHW
ML
54%
86-73
49%
81-86
54%
87-73
56%
94-73
ATS
64%
101-58
59%
99-68
57%
91-69
56%
93-74
TTL
46%
69-81-9
58%
96-69-2
46%
69-81-10
51%
84-81-2
Contextual Game News
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
LSU's Defense Dominates Early, But Real Test Awaits
White Sox Eye ALDS Sweep Over Guardians in Game 3 Showdown