Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Bryant @ Army BRY @ ARMY

BRYANT

BRYANTBRY

1-1  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Sep 5 • 12:00 PM ET
Michie Stadium
View Odds Details →

ARMY

ARMYARMY

1-0  |  Home

59
Key Game
👤
KEY GAME

Kristian Karoglan

#36 | Place kicker
@
Bryson Hosea
KEY GAME

Bryson Hosea

#90 | Place kicker
Player
Kristian Karoglan None-None
Bryson Hosea None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BRYANT
23%
📊
ARMY
77%
BRYANT --
ARMY --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.5
Projected
Book Total
50.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +9.0 (Under)
Over 50.5 31%
Under 50.5 69%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+13.3
BRYANT
Book Spread
+37
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.7 points (Bryant)
BryantBRY (+37) 0 ArmyARMY (-37)
Bryant Bulldogs (+37) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bryant Cover

82.9%

Army Cover

17.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around BRY +13.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRY)

BRY By 1-6 points

8.3%

BRY By 7-13 points

5.1%

ARMY By 1-6 points

13.3%

ARMY By 7-13 points

19.2%

AI Model Projected Score
14.1
BRYANT
Book Implied: 6.80
27.4
ARMY
Book Implied: 43.80
Simulated Score
14
BRYANT
Book Implied: 6.80
27
ARMY
Book Implied: 43.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Army Win
77% Win Prob
C
Sim Army Win
90% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Bryant (+37) Loss
Proj Spread: +13.3
A
Sim Bryant (+37) Loss
Proj Spread: +13.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI u50.5 Loss
Proj Total: 41.5
B
Sim u50.5 Loss
Proj Total: 41.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2026 BRY @ ARMY 3 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +195.1% more
Army: 254.7 vs Bryant: 86.3
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +9.0% more
Army: 0.5 vs Bryant: 0.4
Turnovers (L5) +46.6% more
Bryant: 1.3 vs Army: 0.7
First Downs (L5) +10.7% more
Bryant: 20.2 vs Army: 18.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BRY Score 14.1 3
ARMY Score 27.4 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.1 / 20.2 31.0 / 9.0
Rushing Yards 254.7 / 86.3 569.0 / 67.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.67 / 0.21
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards 339.1 / 325.5 648.0 / 165.0
Turnovers 0.7 / 1.3 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- / -- → -- / --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: +37 / -37 → +37 / -37
96%TICKETS4%
91%MONEY9%
Total (O/U)
Open: 50.5 → 50.5
43%TICKETS57%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRY
--
ARMY Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 13.5 ATS +/-: +2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRY
--
ARMY Advantage
1-2-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 13.5 ATS +/-: +2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BRY
--
ARMY
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
BRY
ARMY
BRY
ML
100% 4-0
100% 1-0
75% 3-1
100% 1-0
ATS
75% 3-1
0% 0-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-1
TTL
50% 2-2
0% 0-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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