Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Rhode Island @ Temple URI @ TEM

RHODE ISLAND

RHODE ISLANDURI

1-1  |  Road

14
FINAL
Sat, Sep 5 • 2:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

TEMPLE

TEMPLETEM

1-0  |  Home

38
Key Game
Randy Leavitt
KEY GAME

Randy Leavitt

#32 | Punter
@
Dante Atton
KEY GAME

Dante Atton

#7 | Punter
Player
Randy Leavitt None-None
Dante Atton None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RHODE ISLAND
31%
📊
TEMPLE
69%
▲ Edge: +12.50% (URI)
RHODE ISLAND 19% Book Odds: +436
TEMPLE 88% Book Odds: -718
Book Implied: 18.70% / 87.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.1
Projected
Book Total
51.0
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +5.9 (Under)
Over 51.0 37%
Under 51.0 63%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+8.9
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
+14.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.6 points (Rhode Island)
Rhode IslandURI (+14.5) 0 TempleTEM (-14.5)
Rhode Island Rams (+14.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rhode Island Cover

73.8%

Temple Cover

26.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around URI +8.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)

URI By 1-6 points

11.5%

URI By 7-13 points

8.1%

TEM By 1-6 points

15.8%

TEM By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
18.1
RHODE ISLAND
Book Implied: 18.20
27
TEMPLE
Book Implied: 32.80
Simulated Score
18
RHODE ISLAND
Book Implied: 18.20
27
TEMPLE
Book Implied: 32.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Temple Win
69% Win Prob
D
Sim Temple Win
81% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rhode Island (+14.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +8.9
C
Sim Rhode Island (+14.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +9.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u51.0 Loss
Proj Total: 45.1
C
Sim u51.0 Loss
Proj Total: 45.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2026 URI @ TEM 14 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +151.0% more
Temple: 119.3 vs Rhode Island: 47.5
First Downs (L5) +10.5% more
Temple: 16.6 vs Rhode Island: 15.0
Turnovers (L5) +74.5% more
Rhode Island: 2.7 vs Temple: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
URI Score 18.1 14
TEM Score 27.0 38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.6 / 15.0 19.0 / 15.0
Rushing Yards 119.3 / 47.5 227.0 / 97.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.25 / 0.43
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.52 / 0.49
Total Yards 293.5 / 286.6 369.0 / 292.0
Turnovers 0.7 / 2.7 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +436 / -718 → +436 / -718
4%TICKETS96%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +14.5 / -14.5 → +14.5 / -14.5
61%TICKETS39%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: 51 → 51
38%TICKETS62%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
URI
--
TEM Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +5.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
URI
--
TEM Advantage
4-0-1 (100.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +5.8
⚖️ Over/Under
URI
--
TEM
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
URI
TEM
URI
ML
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
ATS
40% 2-3
0% 0-2
40% 2-3
0% 0-2
TTL
40% 2-3
50% 1-1
20% 1-4
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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