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VMI

VMIVMI

0-2  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:30 PM ET
Lane Stadium
View Odds Details →

VIRGINIA TECH

VIRGINIA TECHVT

1-0  |  Home

73
Key Game
William Lees
KEY GAME

William Lees

#42 | Place kicker
@
John Love
KEY GAME

John Love

#17 | Place kicker
Player
William Lees None-None
John Love None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
VMI
10%
📊
VIRGINIA TECH
90%
VMI --
VIRGINIA TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.1
Projected
Book Total
62.0
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +13.9 (Under)
Over 62.0 22%
Under 62.0 78%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+23.9
VMI
Book Spread
+54.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.6 points (VMI)
VMIVMI (+54.5) 0 Virginia TechVT (-54.5)
VMI Keydets (+54.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

VMI Cover

95.6%

Virginia Tech Cover

4.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around VMI +23.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VMI)

VMI By 1-6 points

2.6%

VMI By 7-13 points

1.1%

VT By 1-6 points

6.0%

VT By 7-13 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
12.1
VMI
Book Implied: 3.80
36
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Implied: 58.20
Simulated Score
12
VMI
Book Implied: 3.80
36
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Implied: 58.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Virginia Tech Win
90% Win Prob
B
Sim Virginia Tech Win
99% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI VMI (+54.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +23.9
A
Sim VMI (+54.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +24.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI u62.0 Loss
Proj Total: 48.1
A
Sim u62.0 Loss
Proj Total: 48.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2026 VMI @ VT 3 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +419.7% more
Virginia Tech: 180.5 vs VMI: 34.7
Total Yards (L5) +56.3% more
Virginia Tech: 309.1 vs VMI: 197.8
First Downs (L5) +51.0% more
Virginia Tech: 15.1 vs VMI: 10.0
Turnovers (L5) +43.0% more
Virginia Tech: 1.4 vs VMI: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VMI Score 12.1 3
VT Score 36.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 15.1 / 10.0 30.0 / 6.0
Rushing Yards 180.5 / 34.7 268.0 / -4.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.2 0.38 / 0.12
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.4 0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards 309.1 / 197.8 619.0 / 83.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 1.0 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- / -- → -- / --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: +55.5 / -55.5 → +54.5 / -54.5 ↓
99%TICKETS1%
95%MONEY5%
Total (O/U)
Open: 61.5 → 62 ↑
20%TICKETS80%
24%MONEY76%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VMI
--
VT Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 21.4 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VMI
--
VT Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 21.4 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
VMI
--
VT
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +9.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
VMI
VT
VMI
ML
80% 4-1
100% 2-0
40% 2-3
100% 2-0
ATS
40% 2-3
50% 1-1
20% 1-4
50% 1-1
TTL
20% 1-4
0% 0-2
60% 3-2
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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