Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / New Hampshire @ Syracuse UNH @ SYR

NEW HAMPSHIRE

NEW HAMPSHIREUNH

0-2  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Sep 5 • 12:00 PM ET
JMA Wireless Dome
View Odds Details →

SYRACUSE

SYRACUSESYR

1-0  |  Home

66
Key Game
Matt Guidebeck
KEY GAME

Matt Guidebeck

#47 | Punter
@
Jimmy Gregg
KEY GAME

Jimmy Gregg

#41 | Punter
Player
Matt Guidebeck None-None
Jimmy Gregg None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
NEW HAMPSHIRE
35%
📊
SYRACUSE
65%
NEW HAMPSHIRE --
SYRACUSE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.1
Projected
Book Total
55.0
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +7.9 (Under)
Over 55.0 32%
Under 55.0 68%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.9
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Book Spread
+34.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.6 points (New Hampshire)
New HampshireUNH (+34.5) 0 SyracuseSYR (-34.5)
New Hampshire Wildcats (+34.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

New Hampshire Cover

68.9%

Syracuse Cover

31.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around UNH +6.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNH)

UNH By 1-6 points

12.9%

UNH By 7-13 points

9.7%

SYR By 1-6 points

16.5%

SYR By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
20.1
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Book Implied: 10.20
27
SYRACUSE
Book Implied: 44.80
Simulated Score
20
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Book Implied: 10.20
27
SYRACUSE
Book Implied: 44.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Syracuse Win
65% Win Prob
D
Sim Syracuse Win
75% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI New Hampshire (+34.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +6.9
A
Sim New Hampshire (+34.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +7.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI u55.0 Loss
Proj Total: 47.1
B
Sim u55.0 Loss
Proj Total: 47.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2026 UNH @ SYR 3 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +60.9% more
Syracuse: 146.5 vs New Hampshire: 91.0
Turnovers (L5) +10.4% more
Syracuse: 1.6 vs New Hampshire: 1.4
Total Yards (L5) +18.2% more
New Hampshire: 316.4 vs Syracuse: 258.9
First Downs (L5) +8.8% more
New Hampshire: 17.3 vs Syracuse: 15.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNH Score 20.1 3
SYR Score 27.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 15.8 / 17.3 32.0 / 12.0
Rushing Yards 146.5 / 91.0 238.0 / 60.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.67 / 0.36
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.54 / 0.46
Total Yards 258.9 / 316.4 513.0 / 159.0
Turnovers 1.6 / 1.4 0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: 0 / 0 → -- / --
3%TICKETS97%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +33.5 / -33.5 → +34.5 / -34.5 ↑
94%TICKETS6%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: 55 → 55
28%TICKETS72%
29%MONEY71%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNH
--
SYR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNH
--
SYR Advantage
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UNH
--
SYR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
UNH
SYR
UNH
ML
75% 3-1
100% 2-0
75% 3-1
100% 2-0
ATS
50% 2-2
50% 1-1
75% 3-1
50% 1-1
TTL
50% 2-2
0% 0-2
75% 3-1
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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