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WASHINGTON STATE

WASHINGTON STWSU

0-1  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sun, Sep 6 • 4:00 PM ET
Husky Stadium
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WASHINGTONWASH

1-0  |  Home

24
Key Game
Max Dean
KEY GAME

Max Dean

#32 | Punter
@
Hunter Green
KEY GAME

Hunter Green

#93 | Punter
Player
Max Dean None-None
Hunter Green None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WASHINGTON ST
19%
📊
WASHINGTON
81%
▲ Edge: +10.90% (WSU)
WASHINGTON ST 9% Book Odds: +1074
WASHINGTON 95% Book Odds: -1865
Book Implied: 8.50% / 94.90%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
51.0
Projected
Book Total
51.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 51.5 50%
Under 51.5 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+15.0
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Spread
+24
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Washington State)
Washington StWSU (+24) 0 WashingtonWASH (-24)
Washington State Cougars (+24) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Washington St Cover

85.8%

Washington Cover

14.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around WSU +15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSU)

WSU By 1-6 points

7.2%

WSU By 7-13 points

4.1%

WASH By 1-6 points

12.2%

WASH By 7-13 points

18.5%

AI Model Projected Score
18
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Implied: 13.80
33
WASHINGTON
Book Implied: 37.80
Simulated Score
18
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Implied: 13.80
31
WASHINGTON
Book Implied: 37.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Washington Win
81% Win Prob
A
Sim Washington Win
90% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Washington St (+24) Win
Proj Spread: +15.0
C
Sim Washington St (+24) Win
Proj Spread: +13.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u51.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
D
Sim u51.5 Win
Proj Total: 49.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2026 WSU @ WASH 10 - 24
Sep 20, 2025 WASH @ WSU 59 - 24
Sep 14, 2024 WSU @ WASH 24 - 19
Nov 25, 2023 WSU @ WASH 21 - 24
Nov 26, 2022 WASH @ WSU 51 - 33
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +26.3% more
Washington State: 1.9 vs Washington: 1.4
Rushing Yards (L5) +17.8% more
Washington State: 186.7 vs Washington: 153.5
Total Yards (L5) +15.2% more
Washington State: 429.9 vs Washington: 364.4
First Downs (L5) +14.8% more
Washington State: 23.2 vs Washington: 19.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSU Score 18.0 10
WASH Score 33.0 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.8 / 23.2 20.0 / 18.0
Rushing Yards 153.5 / 186.7 134.0 / 100.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.33 / 0.0
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.49 / 0.51
Total Yards 364.4 / 429.9 402.0 / 242.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 1.9 0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +915 / -1848 → +1074 / -1865
2%TICKETS98%
50%MONEY50%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +23 / -23 → +24 / -24 ↑
73%TICKETS27%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: 50.5 → 51.5 ↑
67%TICKETS33%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -3.6
WASH Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -11.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -3.6
WASH
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -11.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -4.7
WASH
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -8.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
WSU
WASH
WSU
ML
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
100% 5-0
ATS
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
TTL
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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