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COASTAL CAROLINA

COASTALCCU

0-1  |  Road

24
FINAL
Sat, Sep 5 • 12:00 PM ET
Milan Puskar Stadium
View Odds Details →

WEST VIRGINIA

WEST VIRGINIAWVU

1-0  |  Home

31
Key Game
Roland Podesta
KEY GAME

Roland Podesta

#42 | Punter
@
Bryan Hansen
KEY GAME

Bryan Hansen

#83 | Punter
Player
Roland Podesta None-None
Bryan Hansen None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
COASTAL
19%
📊
WEST VIRGINIA
81%
▲ Edge: +9% (CCU)
COASTAL 10% Book Odds: +873
WEST VIRGINIA 94% Book Odds: -1547
Book Implied: 10.30% / 93.90%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
58.6
Projected
Book Total
55.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +3.6 (Over)
Over 55.0 60%
Under 55.0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+15.0
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Spread
+21
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Coastal Carolina)
CoastalCCU (+21) 0 West VirginiaWVU (-21)
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (+21) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Coastal Cover

85.8%

West Virginia Cover

14.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CCU +15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCU)

CCU By 1-6 points

7.2%

CCU By 7-13 points

4.1%

WVU By 1-6 points

12.2%

WVU By 7-13 points

18.5%

AI Model Projected Score
21.8
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Implied: 17
36.8
WEST VIRGINIA
Book Implied: 38
Simulated Score
14
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Implied: 17
33
WEST VIRGINIA
Book Implied: 38
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI West Virginia Win
81% Win Prob
C
Sim West Virginia Win
97% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Coastal (+21) Win
Proj Spread: +15.0
C
Sim Coastal (+21) Win
Proj Spread: +19.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o55.0 Push
Proj Total: 58.6
C
Sim u55.0 Push
Proj Total: 47.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2026 CCU @ WVU 24 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +10.7% more
Coastal Carolina: 1.7 vs West Virginia: 1.5
Rushing Yards (L5) +8.7% more
Coastal Carolina: 111.6 vs West Virginia: 101.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCU Score 21.8 24
WVU Score 36.8 31
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.3 / 15.1 18.0 / 22.0
Rushing Yards 101.9 / 111.6 281.0 / 52.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.5 / 0.2
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.4 0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards 310.2 / 292.3 413.0 / 425.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 1.7 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +860 / -1678 → +873 / -1547
2%TICKETS98%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +21.5 / -21.5 → +21 / -21 ↓
66%TICKETS34%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: 56.5 → 55 ↓
31%TICKETS69%
35%MONEY65%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: -1.2
WVU Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: -1.2
WVU Advantage
2-2-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.9
WVU
5-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +10.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WVU
CCU
WVU
CCU
ML
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
ATS
25% 1-3-1
40% 2-3
25% 1-3-1
60% 3-2
TTL
50% 2-2-1
25% 1-3-1
0% 0-4-1
50% 2-2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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