Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / E Illinois @ Minnesota EIU @ MINN

EASTERN ILLINOIS

E ILLINOISEIU

0-1  |  Road

7
FINAL
Thu, Sep 3 • 8:00 PM ET
Huntington Bank Stadium
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

MINNESOTAMINN

1-0  |  Home

59
Key Game
Jeremiah Salem
KEY GAME

Jeremiah Salem

#15 | Quarterback
@
Zachary Robbins
KEY GAME

Zachary Robbins

#37 | Punter
Player
Jeremiah Salem None-None
Zachary Robbins None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
E ILLINOIS
4%
📊
MINNESOTA
96%
E ILLINOIS --
MINNESOTA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
58.0
Projected
Book Total
52.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 (Over)
Over 52.0 65%
Under 52.0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+34.4
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
+42.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.1 points (Eastern Illinois)
E IllinoisEIU (+42.5) 0 MinnesotaMINN (-42.5)
Eastern Illinois Panthers (+42.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

E Illinois Cover

99.3%

Minnesota Cover

0.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around EIU +34.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EIU)

EIU By 1-6 points

0.5%

EIU By 7-13 points

0.1%

MINN By 1-6 points

1.5%

MINN By 7-13 points

4.5%

AI Model Projected Score
11.8
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Book Implied: 4.80
46.2
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 47.20
Simulated Score
15
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Book Implied: 4.80
36
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 47.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Minnesota Win
96% Win Prob
B
Sim Minnesota Win
98% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI E Illinois (+42.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +34.4
B
Sim E Illinois (+42.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +21.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o52.0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
B
Sim u52.0 Loss
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 3, 2026 EIU @ MINN 7 - 59
Aug 28, 2014 EIU @ MINN 20 - 42
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +98.6% more
Minnesota: 96.3 vs Eastern Illinois: 48.5
First Downs (L5) +46.6% more
Minnesota: 14.9 vs Eastern Illinois: 10.2
Total Yards (L5) +45.1% more
Minnesota: 252.7 vs Eastern Illinois: 174.2
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +21.0% more
Minnesota: 0.4 vs Eastern Illinois: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EIU Score 11.8 7
MINN Score 46.2 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 14.9 / 10.2 24.0 / 4.0
Rushing Yards 96.3 / 48.5 147.0 / 51.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.2 0.67 / 0.23
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.61 / 0.39
Total Yards 252.7 / 174.2 495.0 / 110.0
Turnovers 0.5 / 1.7 1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: 0 / 0 → -- / --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: +42.5 / -42.5 → +42.5 / -42.5
60%TICKETS40%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: 50.5 → 52 ↑
50%TICKETS50%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
--
MINN Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 14.0 ATS +/-: +5.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU
--
MINN Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 14.0 ATS +/-: +5.0
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
--
MINN
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MINN
EIU
MINN
EIU
ML
40% 2-3
50% 1-1
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
ATS
60% 3-2
0% 0-2
40% 2-3
0% 0-2
TTL
60% 3-2
100% 2-0
20% 1-4
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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