Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Long Island @ Kansas LIU @ KU

LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY

LONG ISLANDLIU

0-2  |  Road

6
FINAL
Fri, Sep 4 • 8:00 PM ET
David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium
View Odds Details →

KANSAS

KANSASKU

1-0  |  Home

51
Key Game
👤
KEY GAME

Callum Brent

#47 | Place kicker
@
Martin Connington
KEY GAME

Martin Connington

#29 | Place kicker
Player
Callum Brent None-None
Martin Connington None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
LONG ISLAND
4%
📊
KANSAS
96%
LONG ISLAND --
KANSAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
60.0
Projected
Book Total
56.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +3.5 (Over)
Over 56.5 59%
Under 56.5 41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+34.4
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
+43.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.1 points (Long Island University)
Long IslandLIU (+43.5) 0 KansasKU (-43.5)
Long Island University Sharks (+43.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Long Island Cover

99.3%

Kansas Cover

0.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LIU +34.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)

LIU By 1-6 points

0.5%

LIU By 7-13 points

0.1%

KU By 1-6 points

1.5%

KU By 7-13 points

4.5%

AI Model Projected Score
12.8
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Implied: 6.50
47.2
KANSAS
Book Implied: 50
Simulated Score
11
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Implied: 6.50
41
KANSAS
Book Implied: 50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Kansas Win
96% Win Prob
A
Sim Kansas Win
100% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Long Island (+43.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +34.4
A
Sim Long Island (+43.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +30.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o56.5 Win
Proj Total: 60.0
C
Sim u56.5 Loss
Proj Total: 52.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 4, 2026 LIU @ KU 6 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +71.0% more
Kansas: 1.6 vs Long Island University: 0.9
First Downs (L5) +70.6% more
Kansas: 21.0 vs Long Island University: 12.3
Rushing Yards (L5) +64.3% more
Kansas: 197.4 vs Long Island University: 120.2
Total Yards (L5) +49.6% more
Kansas: 387.4 vs Long Island University: 259.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIU Score 12.8 6
KU Score 47.2 51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.0 / 12.3 29.0 / 11.0
Rushing Yards 197.4 / 120.2 277.0 / 35.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.62 / 0.15
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards 387.4 / 259.0 613.0 / 146.0
Turnovers 1.6 / 0.9 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- / -- → -- / --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: +39.5 / -39.5 → +43.5 / -43.5 ↑
86%TICKETS14%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: 53.5 → 56.5 ↑
31%TICKETS69%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
KU Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 19.0 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
KU Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 19.0 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
KU
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
LIU
KU
LIU
ML
75% 3-1
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
TTL
75% 3-1
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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