Key Game
KEY GAME
Isaac Gallagher-Cheetham
#40 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Keyone Jenkins
#12 | Quarterback| Player | |
|---|---|
| Isaac Gallagher-Cheetham | None-None |
| Keyone Jenkins | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BETHUNE
4%
UCF
96%
BETHUNE
--
UCF
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
59.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
53%
Under 0
47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+32.5
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around BCU +32.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BCU)
BCU By 1-6 points
0.7%
BCU By 7-13 points
0.2%
UCF By 1-6 points
2.1%
UCF By 7-13 points
5.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Bethune-Cookman
13.5
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
UCF
46
UCF
Simulated Score
Bethune-Cookman
12
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
UCF
41
UCF
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
UCF
Win
96% Win Prob
B
Sim
UCF
Win
100% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bethune (+42.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: +32.5
B
Sim
Bethune (+42.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: +29.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o58.5
Win
Proj Total: 59.5
D
Sim
u58.5
Loss
Proj Total: 53.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 3, 2026
BCU @ UCF
6 - 73
Sep 11, 2021
BCU @ UCF
14 - 63
Sep 20, 2014
BCU @ UCF
7 - 41
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+39.9% more
UCF: 1.9
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 1.4
Total Yards (L5)
+37.6% more
UCF: 324.6
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 235.9
Third Down Efficiency (L5)
+15.0% more
UCF: 0.4
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BCU Score
13.5
6
UCF Score
46.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
15.6 / 14.5
26.0 / 9.0
Rushing Yards
97.4 / 91.2
360.0 / 107.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.2
0.62 / 0.19
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards
324.6 / 235.9
560.0 / 181.0
Turnovers
1.9 / 1.4
1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: 0 / 0
→
0 / 0
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: +38.5 / -38.5
→
+38.5 / -38.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 55.5
→
55.5
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU
--
UCF
Advantage
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 14.8
ATS +/-: +6.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU
--
UCF
Advantage
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 14.8
ATS +/-: +6.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
--
UCF
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCF
BCU
UCF
BCU
ML
80%
4-1
100%
1-0
100%
5-0
100%
1-0
ATS
40%
2-3
0%
0-1
40%
2-3
0%
0-1
TTL
60%
3-2
100%
1-0
20%
1-4
0%
0-1