BALTIMORE
ORIOLESBAL
79-82 | Road
5
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
100-62 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Yennier Cano
#78 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Will Klein
#61 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yennier Cano | None-None | 2.13 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
| Will Klein | None-None | 2.37 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.13 Ldr
ERA
2.37
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 0.2
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ORIOLES
40%
DODGERS
60%
ORIOLES
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
BAL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
BAL By 3-4 runs
16.3%
LAD By 1-2 runs
16.3%
LAD By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Baltimore
3
BALTIMORE
Los Angeles
2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Baltimore
3
BALTIMORE
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Orioles
Loss
40% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
B
Sim
Dodgers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 21, 2026
BAL @ LAD
12 - 1
Jun 20, 2026
BAL @ LAD
3 - 2
Jun 19, 2026
BAL @ LAD
5 - 6
Sep 7, 2025
LAD @ BAL
5 - 2
Sep 6, 2025
LAD @ BAL
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Baltimore
BAL
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
161
Games Played
▲
162
4.46
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.711
OPS
▲
.762
199
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+73.5% more
Baltimore: 1.2
vs
Los Angeles: 0.3
Walks (L5)
+20.6% more
Baltimore: 3.4
vs
Los Angeles: 2.7
Strikeouts (L5)
+12.2% more
Baltimore: 8.8
vs
Los Angeles: 7.8
Home Runs (L5)
+53.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.4
vs
Baltimore: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BAL Score
3.0
5
LAD Score
2.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 1.2
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.8 / 6.4
12.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 0.8
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 8.8
10.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
13.4 / 10.4
18.0 / 13.0
Walks
2.7 / 3.4
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BAL
79-82-0
(49.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BAL
Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
BAL
LAD
BAL
ML
56%
92-73
53%
83-73
48%
79-87
57%
90-69
ATS
59%
98-67
61%
95-60-1
43%
72-94
57%
90-68-1
TTL
48%
77-82-6
54%
81-70-5
44%
70-90-6
51%
78-75-6
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