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MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

77-85  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Aug 23 • 3:10 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

84-78  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Austin Martin
STARTING PITCHER

Austin Martin

#16 | Right Field
@
Davis Martin
STARTING PITCHER

Davis Martin

#65 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Austin Martin None-None -- -- -- --
Davis Martin None-None 3.93 -- 5.0 6
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.93
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 5.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 6
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
61%
📊
WHITE SOX
39%
TWINS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 61%
Under 0 39%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Minnesota)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

55.8%

White Sox Cover

44.2%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-2 runs

19.2%

MIN By 3-4 runs

15.2%

CHW By 1-2 runs

17.3%

CHW By 3-4 runs

11.9%

AI Model Projected Score
4.21
MINNESOTA
3.63
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
4
MINNESOTA
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Twins Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Twins (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.6
D
Sim White Sox (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.8
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2026 MIN @ CHW 1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026 MIN @ CHW 6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026 MIN @ CHW 1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026 CHW @ MIN 1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026 CHW @ MIN 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.56
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.720
OPS
▲ .826
187 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.5% more
Minnesota: 187.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Walks (L5) +20.7% more
Minnesota: 5.2 vs Chicago: 4.1
Errors (L5) +64.0% more
Chicago: 1.0 vs Minnesota: 0.3
Runs per Game (Season) +31.6% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Minnesota: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 4.2 3
CHW Score 3.6 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.0 / 0.3 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.9 / 8.7 10.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 0.8 2.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 8.0 / 8.0 8.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 14.2 / 12.7 17.0 / 16.0
Walks 4.1 / 5.2 2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
MIN
CHW
MIN
ML
49% 81-86
52% 84-78
56% 94-73
50% 80-81
ATS
59% 99-68
59% 95-67
56% 93-74
59% 95-66
TTL
58% 96-69-2
51% 78-75-9
51% 84-81-2
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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