CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
89-73 | Road
3
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
62-100 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Javier Assad
#72 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad | None-None | 3.86 | -- | 6.0 | 4 |
| Reid Detmers | None-None | 4.19 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.86 Ldr
ERA
4.19
--
WHIP
--
6.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
59%
ANGELS
41%
CUBS
--
ANGELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHC -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)
CHC By 1-2 runs
18.9%
CHC By 3-4 runs
14.4%
LAA By 1-2 runs
17.9%
LAA By 3-4 runs
12.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
4.07
CHICAGO
Los Angeles
3.78
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cubs
Win
59% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cubs (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.3
C
Sim
Angels (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.9
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
LAA @ CHC
2 - 6
Mar 31, 2026
LAA @ CHC
2 - 0
Mar 30, 2026
LAA @ CHC
2 - 7
Aug 24, 2025
CHC @ LAA
4 - 3
Aug 23, 2025
CHC @ LAA
12 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHC
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
2
Games Played
▲
162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲
4.04
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲
.234
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.310
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.369
.374
OPS
▲
.679
0
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+28.0% more
Chicago: 4.6
vs
Los Angeles: 3.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+12.3% more
Chicago: 8.3
vs
Los Angeles: 7.3
Errors (L5)
+12.0% more
Chicago: 0.2
vs
Los Angeles: 0.1
Home Runs (Season)
+15400.0% more
Los Angeles: 154.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHC Score
4.1
3
LAA Score
3.8
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.3 / 5.3
3.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.6
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.3 / 8.3
10.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
12.6 / 7.9
9.0 / 12.0
Walks
3.3 / 4.6
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
Advantage
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
CHC
LAA
CHC
ML
59%
96-66
58%
93-68
55%
89-73
51%
82-79
ATS
60%
97-65
61%
97-63-1
51%
82-80
47%
75-85-1
TTL
53%
83-74-5
52%
81-74-6
52%
82-75-5
46%
72-83-6
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