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COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

58-104  |  Road

0
FINAL
Fri, Aug 22 • 2:40 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PIRATESPIT

82-80  |  Home

9
Probable Pitchers
Braxton Fulford
STARTING PITCHER

Braxton Fulford

#37 | Catcher
@
Bubba Chandler
STARTING PITCHER

Bubba Chandler

#36 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Braxton Fulford None-None -- -- -- --
Bubba Chandler None-None 0.00 -- 4.0 3
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 0.00
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 4.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 3
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
36%
📊
PIRATES
64%
ROCKIES --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 58%
Under 0 42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Colorado)
RockiesCOL (-3.5) 0 PiratesPIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockies Cover

54.3%

Pirates Cover

45.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around COL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

COL By 1-2 runs

19.1%

COL By 3-4 runs

14.8%

PIT By 1-2 runs

17.6%

PIT By 3-4 runs

12.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4.52
COLORADO
4.09
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
5
COLORADO
7
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rockies Loss
36% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rockies (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.4
A
Sim Pirates (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.6
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 12.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 21, 2026 PIT @ COL 8 - 6
Jun 20, 2026 PIT @ COL 1 - 2
Jun 19, 2026 PIT @ COL 3 - 4
May 14, 2026 COL @ PIT 2 - 7
May 13, 2026 COL @ PIT 10 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado COL
vs
Pittsburgh PIT
162
Games Played
162
4.64
Runs / Game
▲ 4.73
.254 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.253
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .330
.417 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.404
.739 ▲
OPS
.734
180
Home Runs
▲ 186
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +74.0% more
Colorado: 0.9 vs Pittsburgh: 0.2
Errors (L5) +45.0% more
Colorado: 1.0 vs Pittsburgh: 0.6
Total Bases (L5) +34.7% more
Colorado: 15.6 vs Pittsburgh: 10.2
Walks (L5) +31.6% more
Colorado: 3.8 vs Pittsburgh: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 4.5 0
PIT Score 4.1 9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 1.0 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.5 / 10.5 14.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 0.2 / 0.9 3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.3 / 7.7 9.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 10.2 / 15.6 30.0 / 4.0
Walks 2.6 / 3.8 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
PIT Advantage
82-80-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
PIT
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
PIT
81-74-7
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
COL
PIT
COL
ML
52% 82-77
60% 97-64
52% 85-78
55% 88-73
ATS
54% 86-73
60% 97-64
50% 81-82
52% 83-78
TTL
47% 72-81-6
60% 93-62-6
50% 79-78-6
50% 77-78-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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