Home / MLB Projections MLB / Brewers @ Cubs MIL @ CHC

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

103-59  |  Road

7
FINAL
Mon, Aug 18 • 10:20 AM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

CUBSCHC

89-73  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Grant Anderson
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Anderson

#56 | Relief Pitcher
@
Gavin Hollowell
STARTING PITCHER

Gavin Hollowell

#46 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Grant Anderson None-None 2.97 -- 1.0 1
Gavin Hollowell None-None 4.82 -- 2.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
2.97 Ldr ERA 4.82
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 2.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
58%
📊
CUBS
42%
BREWERS --
CUBS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 37%
Under 0 63%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Milwaukee)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 CubsCHC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

52.3%

Cubs Cover

47.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

MIL By 1-2 runs

18.8%

MIL By 3-4 runs

14.2%

CHC By 1-2 runs

18.0%

CHC By 3-4 runs

12.9%

AI Model Projected Score
5.85
MILWAUKEE
5.62
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
MILWAUKEE
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Brewers Win
58% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Brewers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.2
A
Sim
Proj Runs:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 11.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 9, 2026 CHC @ MIL 6 - 8
Sep 8, 2026 CHC @ MIL 3 - 4
Sep 7, 2026 CHC @ MIL 3 - 4
Sep 3, 2026 MIL @ CHC 1 - 2
Sep 2, 2026 MIL @ CHC 9 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Chicago CHC
162 ▲
Games Played
2
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
0.50
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.129
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.145
.743 ▲
OPS
.374
154 ▲
Home Runs
0
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +100.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0 vs Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season) +90.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Chicago: 0.5
Home Runs (L5) +78.6% more
Milwaukee: 1.6 vs Chicago: 0.3
Total Bases (L5) +43.8% more
Milwaukee: 16.8 vs Chicago: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 5.9 7
CHC Score 5.6 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.5 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.8 / 9.4 2.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 0.3 / 1.6 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.8 / 9.4 11.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 9.4 / 16.8 2.0 / 17.0
Walks 2.2 / 3.3 7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
CHC
89-75-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHC
MIL
CHC
MIL
ML
58% 93-68
62% 101-61
51% 82-79
52% 84-78
ATS
61% 97-63-1
58% 94-68
47% 75-85-1
48% 78-84
TTL
52% 81-74-6
40% 62-92-8
46% 72-83-6
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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