Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Red Raiders @ Crimson Tide TTU @ ALA

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

23-11  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sun, Mar 22 • 6:08 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena
View Odds Details →

ALABAMA

CRIMSON TIDEALA

25-10  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
RED RAIDERS
40%
📊
CRIMSON TIDE
60%
RED RAIDERS --
CRIMSON TIDE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 35%
Under 0 65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
ALABAMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Alabama)
Red RaidersTTU (-3.5) 0 Crimson TideALA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Raiders Cover

24.2%

Crimson Tide Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ALA -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ALA)

TTU By 1-7 points

15.3%

TTU By 8-14 points

5.8%

ALA By 1-7 points

26.2%

ALA By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
68
TEXAS TECH
75
ALABAMA
Simulated Score
TEXAS TECH
ALABAMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Crimson Tide Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Crimson Tide (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 22, 2026 TTU @ ALA 65 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +25.3% more
Alabama: 40.2 vs Texas Tech: 32.0
Blocks (L5) +19.8% more
Alabama: 4.5 vs Texas Tech: 3.7
Free Throw % (L5) +8.6%
Alabama: 75.3% vs Texas Tech: 66.7%
Turnovers (L5) +19.4% more
Texas Tech: 10.8 vs Alabama: 8.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TTU Score 68.0 65
ALA Score 75.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.1 / 44.0 45.0 / 16.0
Assists 14.5 / 14.8 25.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.5 / 3.7 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 50.6 44.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 75.3 / 66.7 73.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 40.2 / 32.0 47.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.0 / 5.9 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 8.7 / 10.8 13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
53%MONEY47%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TTU
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
ALA Advantage
25-10-0 (71.4%)
Margin: 8.5 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TTU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
ALA
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: 8.5 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
ALA
17-16-1
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ALA
TTU
ALA
TTU
ML
63% 22-13
62% 21-13
58% 19-14
71% 22-9
ATS
60% 21-14
65% 22-12
58% 19-14
71% 22-9
TTL
63% 22-13
59% 20-14
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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