FURMAN
PALADINSFUR
22-13 | Road
71
UCONN
HUSKIESCONN
34-6 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
PALADINS
45%
HUSKIES
55%
PALADINS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (UConn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CONN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)
FUR By 1-7 points
24.3%
FUR By 8-14 points
13.7%
CONN By 1-7 points
26.2%
CONN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Furman
73
FURMAN
UConn
74
UCONN
Simulated Score
Furman
FURMAN
UConn
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (+21.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o134.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
FUR @ CONN
71 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.0% more
UConn: 4.0
vs
Furman: 3.1
Steals (L5)
+30.0% more
UConn: 5.9
vs
Furman: 4.5
Assists (L5)
+28.2% more
UConn: 16.3
vs
Furman: 12.7
Turnovers (L5)
+26.1% more
UConn: 13.5
vs
Furman: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FUR Score
73.0
71
CONN Score
74.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.6 / 40.0
20.0 / 38.0
Assists
16.3 / 12.7
22.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.1
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 49.9
49.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
79.3 / 75.4
72.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 33.6
44.0 / 23.0
Steals
5.9 / 4.5
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 10.7
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FUR
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
CONN
Advantage
34-6-0
(85.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FUR
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
CONN
18-22-0
(45.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5%
Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
FUR
CONN
FUR
ML
76%
29-9
71%
25-10
66%
23-12
62%
21-13
ATS
74%
28-10
63%
22-13
66%
23-12
62%
21-13
TTL
50%
19-19
57%
20-15
100%
35-0
100%
34-0
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