Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Owls @ Bulldogs KENN @ GONZ

KENNESAW STATE

OWLSKENN

21-14  |  Road

64
FINAL
Thu, Mar 19 • 6:24 PM ET
Moda Center
View Odds Details →

GONZAGA

BULLDOGSGONZ

31-4  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
45%
📊
BULLDOGS
55%
OWLS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 35%
Under 0 65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
GONZAGA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Gonzaga)
OwlsKENN (-3.5) 0 BulldogsGONZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Owls Cover

34.5%

Bulldogs Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GONZ -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GONZ)

KENN By 1-7 points

20.1%

KENN By 8-14 points

9.3%

GONZ By 1-7 points

27.4%

GONZ By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
67
KENNESAW STATE
71
GONZAGA
Simulated Score
KENNESAW STATE
GONZAGA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs (+20.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 KENN @ GONZ 64 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +64.2% more
Gonzaga: 19.1 vs Kennesaw State: 11.6
Free Throw % (L5) +3.9%
Gonzaga: 74.2% vs Kennesaw State: 70.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Gonzaga: 48.9% vs Kennesaw State: 45.4%
Steals (L5) +20.0% more
Kennesaw State: 7.5 vs Gonzaga: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENN Score 67.0 64
GONZ Score 71.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 32.9 17.0 / 18.0
Assists 19.1 / 11.6 17.0 / 7.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.9 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.9 / 45.4 40.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 70.3 87.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 35.0 / 37.4 45.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.0 / 7.5 7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 8.8 / 10.9 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
GONZ Advantage
31-4-0 (88.6%)
Margin: 18.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN
15-16-1 (48.4%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
GONZ Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 18.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +0.8
GONZ
10-25-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GONZ
KENN
GONZ
KENN
ML
71% 25-10
74% 25-9
69% 20-9
72% 23-9
ATS
69% 24-11
71% 24-10
69% 20-9
73% 24-9
TTL
57% 20-15
56% 19-15
100% 29-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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