Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bison @ Wolverines HOW @ MICH

HOWARD

BISONHOW

24-11  |  Road

80
FINAL
Thu, Mar 19 • 3:30 PM ET
KeyBank Center
View Odds Details →

MICHIGAN

WOLVERINESMICH

37-3  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
55%
📊
WOLVERINES
45%
BISON --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Michigan)
BisonHOW (-3.5) 0 WolverinesMICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

46.0%

Wolverines Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MICH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MICH)

HOW By 1-7 points

24.3%

HOW By 8-14 points

13.7%

MICH By 1-7 points

26.2%

MICH By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
75
HOWARD
76
MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
HOWARD
MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wolverines Win
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wolverines (+30.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
C
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 HOW @ MICH 80 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +69.6% more
Michigan: 5.3 vs Howard: 3.1
Free Throw % (L5) +7.8%
Michigan: 82.1% vs Howard: 74.2%
Steals (L5) +41.2% more
Howard: 6.8 vs Michigan: 4.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.8%
Howard: 38.6% vs Michigan: 33.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOW Score 75.0 80
MICH Score 76.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 38.6 46.0 / 48.0
Assists 14.8 / 14.9 27.0 / 14.0
Blocks 5.3 / 3.1 8.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 46.8 / 46.1 67.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 82.1 / 74.2 80.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 35.6 / 37.6 35.0 / 23.0
Steals 4.0 / 6.8 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 11.2 10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
52%MONEY48%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOW
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
MICH Advantage
37-3-0 (92.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
MICH
19-21-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MICH
HOW
MICH
HOW
ML
78% 31-9
59% 20-14
63% 24-14
71% 22-9
ATS
78% 31-9
59% 20-14
63% 24-14
71% 22-9
TTL
57% 23-17
62% 21-13
100% 38-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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