Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rainbow Warriors @ Anteaters HAW @ UCI

HAWAI'I

RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW

24-9  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Mar 14 • 6:05 PM ET
Lee's Family Forum
View Odds Details →

UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

23-12  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
RAINBOW WARRIORS
50%
📊
ANTEATERS
50%
RAINBOW WARRIORS --
ANTEATERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 70%
Under 0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
HAWAI'I
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Hawai'i)
Rainbow WarriorsHAW (-3.5) 0 AnteatersUCI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rainbow Warriors Cover

78.8%

Anteaters Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HAW -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAW)

HAW By 1-7 points

25.3%

HAW By 8-14 points

26.2%

UCI By 1-7 points

13.7%

UCI By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
72
HAWAI'I
64
UC IRVINE
Simulated Score
HAWAI'I
UC IRVINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rainbow Warriors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rainbow Warriors (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 HAW @ UCI 71 - 64
Jan 29, 2026 HAW @ UCI 76 - 87
Jan 10, 2026 UCI @ HAW 66 - 67
Feb 15, 2025 UCI @ HAW 66 - 49
Jan 25, 2025 HAW @ UCI 55 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +9.4%
Hawai'i: 82.4% vs UC Irvine: 73.0%
Assists (L5) +29.6% more
UC Irvine: 17.2 vs Hawai'i: 13.3
Blocks (L5) +25.6% more
UC Irvine: 5.1 vs Hawai'i: 4.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.0%
UC Irvine: 35.8% vs Hawai'i: 25.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAW Score 72.0 71
UCI Score 64.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 25.8 45.0 / 31.0
Assists 17.2 / 13.3 9.0 / 17.0
Blocks 5.1 / 4.0 6.0 / 10.0
Field Goal % 50.2 / 45.6 36.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 73.0 / 82.4 88.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 42.4 / 39.4 39.0 / 43.0
Steals 7.4 / 7.1 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 13.1 15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAW Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
UCI
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAW
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
UCI Advantage
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -0.1
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCI
HAW
UCI
HAW
ML
57% 20-15
61% 20-13
53% 18-16
68% 21-10
ATS
63% 22-13
67% 22-11
53% 18-16
68% 21-10
TTL
57% 20-15
61% 20-13
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 5 hours ago
Melvin Council Jr. Wins Eligibility Appeal, Returns to Kansas fo…
kwch 4 days ago
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
si 5 days ago
UCLA's Unlikely Heroes: TaShawn James, Jalen Woods, and Semaj Mo…
si 5 days, 11 hours ago
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
saturdaydownsouth 6 days, 6 hours ago