TULSA
GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA
30-8 | Road
68
WICHITA STATE
SHOCKERSWICH
24-12 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN HURRICANE
43%
SHOCKERS
57%
GOLDEN HURRICANE
--
SHOCKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
WICHITA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Wichita State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WICH -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WICH)
TLSA By 1-7 points
21.6%
TLSA By 8-14 points
10.7%
WICH By 1-7 points
27.2%
WICH By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Tulsa
80
TULSA
Wichita State
83
WICHITA STATE
Simulated Score
Tulsa
TULSA
Wichita State
WICHITA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Shockers
Win
57% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Shockers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
WICH @ TLSA
79 - 83
Mar 14, 2026
TLSA @ WICH
68 - 81
Feb 14, 2026
TLSA @ WICH
77 - 81
Feb 1, 2026
WICH @ TLSA
83 - 93
Mar 9, 2025
TLSA @ WICH
73 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+47.6% more
Wichita State: 4.3
vs
Tulsa: 2.9
Steals (L5)
+14.0% more
Wichita State: 7.1
vs
Tulsa: 6.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
Wichita State: 81.4%
vs
Tulsa: 77.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Wichita State: 45.5%
vs
Tulsa: 43.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TLSA Score
80.0
68
WICH Score
83.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 37.1
46.0 / 39.0
Assists
11.3 / 16.9
15.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.9
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 43.6
47.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
81.4 / 77.8
72.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
42.5 / 39.7
42.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.1 / 6.2
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 11.5
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TLSA
Advantage
30-8-0
(79.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
WICH
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TLSA
20-15-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
WICH
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +4.8
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WICH
TLSA
WICH
TLSA
ML
61%
22-14
66%
25-13
68%
23-11
64%
23-13
ATS
64%
23-13
74%
28-10
68%
23-11
64%
23-13
TTL
69%
25-11
58%
22-16
100%
34-0
100%
36-0
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