SAINT JOSEPH'S
HAWKSJOES
24-12 | Road
64
VCU
RAMSVCU
28-8 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
45%
RAMS
55%
HAWKS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
25%
Under 0
75%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VCU +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)
JOES By 1-7 points
26.8%
JOES By 8-14 points
24.3%
VCU By 1-7 points
16.9%
VCU By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Joseph's
81
SAINT JOSEPH'S
VCU
75
VCU
Simulated Score
Saint Joseph's
SAINT JOSEPH'S
VCU
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Loss
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rams (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
JOES @ VCU
64 - 77
Jan 19, 2026
JOES @ VCU
72 - 79
Jan 17, 2025
VCU @ JOES
78 - 69
Mar 16, 2024
JOES @ VCU
60 - 66
Feb 25, 2024
JOES @ VCU
69 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+18.4% more
Saint Joseph's: 14.2
vs
VCU: 11.6
Rebounding (L5)
+11.4% more
Saint Joseph's: 37.2
vs
VCU: 33.0
Turnovers (L5)
+11.0% more
Saint Joseph's: 10.7
vs
VCU: 9.5
Blocks (L5)
+9.3% more
Saint Joseph's: 3.8
vs
VCU: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JOES Score
81.0
64
VCU Score
75.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.9 / 34.9
33.0 / 36.0
Assists
11.6 / 14.2
16.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.8
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 45.9
45.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
73.3 / 75.5
79.0 / 40.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 37.2
40.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.0 / 4.7
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 10.7
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JOES
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JOES
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
VCU
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
JOES
VCU
JOES
ML
72%
26-10
51%
18-17
67%
22-11
61%
20-13
ATS
81%
29-7
60%
21-14
67%
22-11
61%
20-13
TTL
58%
21-15
54%
19-16
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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