DELAWARE STATE
HORNETSDSU
8-23 | Road
53
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
EAGLESNCCU
14-18 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
33%
EAGLES
67%
HORNETS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
DELAWARE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Delaware State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DSU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DSU)
DSU By 1-7 points
21.6%
DSU By 8-14 points
27.4%
NCCU By 1-7 points
9.3%
NCCU By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Delaware State
73
DELAWARE STATE
North Carolina Central
62
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Simulated Score
Delaware State
DELAWARE STATE
North Carolina Central
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Loss
33% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hornets (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o131.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
DSU @ NCCU
53 - 59
Feb 28, 2026
NCCU @ DSU
74 - 60
Feb 9, 2026
DSU @ NCCU
63 - 72
Mar 13, 2025
NCCU @ DSU
79 - 77
Feb 24, 2025
NCCU @ DSU
84 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+15.0% more
Delaware State: 35.1
vs
North Carolina Central: 29.8
Blocks (L5)
+67.1% more
North Carolina Central: 3.8
vs
Delaware State: 2.3
Steals (L5)
+54.5% more
North Carolina Central: 9.4
vs
Delaware State: 6.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+16.1%
North Carolina Central: 38.5%
vs
Delaware State: 22.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DSU Score
73.0
53
NCCU Score
62.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 22.4
13.0 / 27.0
Assists
10.2 / 9.7
13.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.8 / 2.3
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 40.6
43.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 70.2
53.0 / 38.0
Rebounding
29.8 / 35.1
33.0 / 32.0
Steals
9.4 / 6.1
9.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 12.7
7.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DSU
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
NCCU
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DSU
9-17-0
(34.6%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
NCCU
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1%
Total +/-: -5.3
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCCU
DSU
NCCU
DSU
ML
65%
20-11
60%
18-12
81%
22-5
75%
18-6
ATS
71%
22-9
60%
18-12
81%
22-5
72%
18-7
TTL
55%
17-14
57%
17-13
100%
27-0
100%
25-0
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