KENNESAW STATE
OWLSKENN
21-14 | Road
79
SAM HOUSTON
BEARKATSSHSU
22-12 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
36%
BEARKATS
64%
OWLS
--
BEARKATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SAM HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SHSU +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHSU)
KENN By 1-7 points
26.2%
KENN By 8-14 points
16.9%
SHSU By 1-7 points
24.3%
SHSU By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Kennesaw State
72
KENNESAW STATE
Sam Houston
71
SAM HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Kennesaw State
KENNESAW STATE
Sam Houston
SAM HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Win
36% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bearkats (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
KENN @ SHSU
79 - 73
Feb 14, 2026
SHSU @ KENN
83 - 79
Jan 21, 2026
KENN @ SHSU
87 - 93
Feb 15, 2025
KENN @ SHSU
76 - 78
Jan 16, 2025
SHSU @ KENN
69 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+65.1% more
Kennesaw State: 4.1
vs
Sam Houston: 1.4
Steals (L5)
+20.7% more
Kennesaw State: 7.6
vs
Sam Houston: 6.0
Turnovers (L5)
+11.3% more
Kennesaw State: 10.6
vs
Sam Houston: 9.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Kennesaw State: 45.9%
vs
Sam Houston: 42.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KENN Score
72.0
79
SHSU Score
71.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.4 / 33.9
24.0 / 41.0
Assists
12.9 / 13.9
14.0 / 11.0
Blocks
1.4 / 4.1
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 45.9
44.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
65.9 / 68.7
65.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
41.8 / 35.0
36.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.0 / 7.6
13.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 10.6
15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
SHSU
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN
15-16-1
(48.4%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
SHSU
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +0.8
SHSU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHSU
KENN
SHSU
KENN
ML
55%
18-15
74%
25-9
74%
23-8
72%
23-9
ATS
64%
21-12
71%
24-10
74%
23-8
73%
24-9
TTL
48%
16-17
56%
19-15
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
