SOUTH CAROLINA
GAMECOCKSSC
13-19 | Road
74
OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
21-16 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
30%
SOONERS
70%
GAMECOCKS
--
SOONERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Oklahoma)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)
SC By 1-7 points
16.9%
SC By 8-14 points
6.8%
OU By 1-7 points
26.8%
OU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina
60
SOUTH CAROLINA
Oklahoma
66
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
South Carolina
SOUTH CAROLINA
Oklahoma
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sooners
Win
70% Win Prob
A
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sooners (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
SC @ OU
74 - 86
Jan 20, 2026
OU @ SC
76 - 85
Jan 18, 2025
SC @ OU
62 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+59.3% more
Oklahoma: 7.2
vs
South Carolina: 4.5
Blocks (L5)
+46.0% more
Oklahoma: 4.0
vs
South Carolina: 2.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.7%
Oklahoma: 44.2%
vs
South Carolina: 30.4%
Rebounding (L5)
+11.5% more
Oklahoma: 33.8
vs
South Carolina: 30.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SC Score
60.0
74
OU Score
66.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.2 / 30.4
44.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.0 / 11.8
18.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.0 / 2.8
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
49.3 / 39.8
60.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
75.9 / 70.9
68.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 30.4
25.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.2 / 4.5
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 10.3
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SC
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
OU
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SC
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
OU
Advantage
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +1.6
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
SC
OU
SC
ML
78%
28-8
72%
23-9
59%
20-14
68%
21-10
ATS
72%
26-10
69%
22-10
59%
20-14
68%
21-10
TTL
75%
27-9
50%
16-16
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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