GEORGETOWN
HOYASGTWN
16-18 | Road
63
DEPAUL
BLUE DEMONSDEP
16-16 | Home
56
AI Model Win Probability
HOYAS
45%
BLUE DEMONS
55%
HOYAS
--
BLUE DEMONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
GEORGETOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Georgetown)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GTWN -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GTWN)
GTWN By 1-7 points
25.3%
GTWN By 8-14 points
26.2%
DEP By 1-7 points
13.7%
DEP By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgetown
72
GEORGETOWN
DePaul
64
DEPAUL
Simulated Score
Georgetown
GEORGETOWN
DePaul
DEPAUL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hoyas
Win
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hoyas (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
GTWN @ DEP
63 - 56
Jan 28, 2026
DEP @ GTWN
61 - 70
Jan 6, 2026
GTWN @ DEP
50 - 56
Mar 12, 2025
DEP @ GTWN
71 - 67
Mar 8, 2025
GTWN @ DEP
77 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+20.7% more
Georgetown: 18.0
vs
DePaul: 14.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.6%
Georgetown: 75.5%
vs
DePaul: 67.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
Georgetown: 48.0%
vs
DePaul: 40.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.8%
Georgetown: 31.7%
vs
DePaul: 24.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GTWN Score
72.0
63
DEP Score
64.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.9 / 31.7
43.0 / 21.0
Assists
14.3 / 18.0
11.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.2
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
40.8 / 48.0
34.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
67.9 / 75.5
64.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 30.9
30.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.3 / 7.6
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 12.8
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GTWN
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.3
DEP
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GTWN
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.3
DEP
Advantage
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +0.4
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEP
GTWN
DEP
GTWN
ML
59%
19-13
67%
22-11
80%
24-6
73%
22-8
ATS
50%
16-16
58%
19-14
80%
24-6
73%
22-8
TTL
53%
17-15
58%
19-14
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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