Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vandals @ Eagles IDHO @ EWU

IDAHO

VANDALSIDHO

21-15  |  Road

81
FINAL
Tue, Mar 10 • 7:50 PM ET
Idaho Central Arena
View Odds Details →

EASTERN WASHINGTON

EAGLESEWU

14-19  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
VANDALS
41%
📊
EAGLES
59%
VANDALS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
IDAHO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Idaho)
VandalsIDHO (-3.5) 0 EaglesEWU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vandals Cover

75.8%

Eagles Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IDHO -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IDHO)

IDHO By 1-7 points

26.2%

IDHO By 8-14 points

25.3%

EWU By 1-7 points

15.3%

EWU By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
72
IDAHO
65
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
IDAHO
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Vandals Win
41% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Vandals (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 IDHO @ EWU 81 - 68
Mar 2, 2026 IDHO @ EWU 85 - 81
Jan 3, 2026 EWU @ IDHO 81 - 84
Feb 15, 2025 IDHO @ EWU 73 - 75
Jan 18, 2025 EWU @ IDHO 76 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +19.2% more
Idaho: 39.2 vs Eastern Washington: 31.7
Assists (L5) +43.5% more
Eastern Washington: 16.3 vs Idaho: 11.4
Blocks (L5) +34.2% more
Eastern Washington: 5.1 vs Idaho: 3.8
Steals (L5) +28.9% more
Eastern Washington: 5.2 vs Idaho: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IDHO Score 72.0 81
EWU Score 65.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.7 / 31.1 15.0 / 33.0
Assists 16.3 / 11.4 10.0 / 8.0
Blocks 5.1 / 3.8 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 54.5 / 46.2 37.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 69.9 / 68.7 68.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 31.7 / 39.2 36.0 / 35.0
Steals 5.2 / 4.0 2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 9.6 9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDHO Advantage
21-15-0 (58.3%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
EWU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDHO
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
EWU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EWU
IDHO
EWU
IDHO
ML
64% 21-12
56% 20-16
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
ATS
64% 21-12
58% 21-15
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
TTL
48% 16-17
69% 25-11
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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