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OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

20-15  |  Road

92
FINAL
Tue, Mar 10 • 5:43 PM ET
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COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

17-16  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
36%
📊
BUFFALOES
64%
COWBOYS --
BUFFALOES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 35%
Under 0 65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Colorado)
CowboysOKST (-3.5) 0 BuffaloesCOLO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

15.9%

Buffaloes Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLO -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)

OKST By 1-7 points

10.7%

OKST By 8-14 points

3.3%

COLO By 1-7 points

23.0%

COLO By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
73
OKLAHOMA STATE
83
COLORADO
Simulated Score
OKLAHOMA STATE
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Buffaloes Loss
64% Win Prob
B
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Buffaloes (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
B
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u164.5 Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 OKST @ COLO 92 - 83
Feb 21, 2026 OKST @ COLO 69 - 83
Jan 18, 2025 COLO @ OKST 73 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +106.2% more
Colorado: 3.3 vs Oklahoma State: 1.6
Assists (L5) +28.7% more
Colorado: 15.2 vs Oklahoma State: 11.8
Steals (L5) +9.8% more
Colorado: 6.5 vs Oklahoma State: 5.9
Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Colorado: 47.0% vs Oklahoma State: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OKST Score 73.0 92
COLO Score 83.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 34.5 34.0 / 29.0
Assists 15.2 / 11.8 18.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.3 / 1.6 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.0 / 43.4 47.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 83.1 / 80.9 56.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 31.1 / 38.5 34.0 / 44.0
Steals 6.5 / 5.9 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 11.3 8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKST Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKST
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
COLO Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
OKST
COLO
OKST
ML
61% 20-13
60% 21-14
69% 22-10
66% 21-11
ATS
73% 24-9
57% 20-15
69% 22-10
66% 21-11
TTL
45% 15-18
57% 20-15
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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