DETROIT MERCY
TITANSDETM
17-15 | Road
70
ROBERT MORRIS
COLONIALSRMU
22-11 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
41%
COLONIALS
59%
TITANS
--
COLONIALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
ROBERT MORRIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Robert Morris)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RMU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RMU)
DETM By 1-7 points
16.9%
DETM By 8-14 points
6.8%
RMU By 1-7 points
26.8%
RMU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit Mercy
66
DETROIT MERCY
Robert Morris
72
ROBERT MORRIS
Simulated Score
Detroit Mercy
DETROIT MERCY
Robert Morris
ROBERT MORRIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Colonials
Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Colonials (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
DETM @ RMU
70 - 64
Feb 25, 2026
DETM @ RMU
62 - 73
Jan 2, 2026
RMU @ DETM
85 - 77
Feb 5, 2025
DETM @ RMU
56 - 71
Jan 2, 2025
RMU @ DETM
76 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+26.6% more
Robert Morris: 11.8
vs
Detroit Mercy: 9.3
Assists (L5)
+21.8% more
Robert Morris: 17.3
vs
Detroit Mercy: 14.2
Steals (L5)
+15.3% more
Robert Morris: 6.6
vs
Detroit Mercy: 5.7
Rebounding (L5)
+10.6% more
Robert Morris: 38.2
vs
Detroit Mercy: 34.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DETM Score
66.0
70
RMU Score
72.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.9 / 36.7
23.0 / 33.0
Assists
17.3 / 14.2
15.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.3
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.3 / 50.6
46.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
68.9 / 81.7
56.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
38.2 / 34.6
32.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.6 / 5.7
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 9.3
15.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
RMU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
RMU
19-11-1
(63.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RMU
DETM
RMU
DETM
ML
36%
12-21
58%
18-13
56%
18-14
50%
15-15
ATS
55%
18-15
61%
19-12
56%
18-14
50%
15-15
TTL
55%
18-15
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
