Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Chanticleers GASO @ CCU

GEORGIA SOUTHERN

EAGLESGASO

21-16  |  Road

96
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 4:24 PM ET
Pensacola Bay Center
View Odds Details →

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

19-13  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
40%
📊
CHANTICLEERS
60%
EAGLES --
CHANTICLEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Georgia Southern)
EaglesGASO (-3.5) 0 ChanticleersCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

72.6%

Chanticleers Cover

27.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GASO -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GASO)

GASO By 1-7 points

26.8%

GASO By 8-14 points

24.3%

CCU By 1-7 points

16.9%

CCU By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
80
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
74
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Win
40% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 GASO @ CCU 96 - 72
Jan 17, 2026 CCU @ GASO 79 - 75
Jan 1, 2026 GASO @ CCU 82 - 81
Jan 23, 2025 CCU @ GASO 58 - 85
Jan 16, 2025 GASO @ CCU 88 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +43.7% more
Georgia Southern: 7.5 vs Coastal Carolina: 4.2
Assists (L5) +43.4% more
Georgia Southern: 14.6 vs Coastal Carolina: 8.3
Turnovers (L5) +18.9% more
Georgia Southern: 11.0 vs Coastal Carolina: 8.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.0%
Georgia Southern: 43.3% vs Coastal Carolina: 31.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GASO Score 80.0 96
CCU Score 74.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.4 / 43.3 28.0 / 41.0
Assists 8.3 / 14.6 9.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.1 / 2.8 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.1 / 49.5 38.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 77.5 / 80.4 77.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 39.5 / 30.1 33.0 / 35.0
Steals 4.2 / 7.5 3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 8.9 / 11.0 14.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
30%MONEY70%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GASO
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
CCU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GASO
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6% Total +/-: +2.6
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
GASO
CCU
GASO
ML
41% 13-19
56% 20-16
55% 17-14
58% 19-14
ATS
38% 12-20
64% 23-13
55% 17-14
58% 19-14
TTL
75% 24-8
61% 22-14
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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