QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
21-14 | Road
90
AUSTIN PEAY
GOVERNORSAPSU
22-9 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
41%
GOVERNORS
59%
ROYALS
--
GOVERNORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
AUSTIN PEAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around APSU +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (APSU)
QUC By 1-7 points
26.2%
QUC By 8-14 points
16.9%
APSU By 1-7 points
24.3%
APSU By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Queens University
77
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Austin Peay
76
AUSTIN PEAY
Simulated Score
Queens University
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Austin Peay
AUSTIN PEAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Royals
Win
41% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Governors (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
QUC @ APSU
90 - 83
Feb 11, 2026
APSU @ QUC
95 - 87
Feb 20, 2025
APSU @ QUC
92 - 78
Jan 11, 2025
QUC @ APSU
67 - 60
Feb 10, 2024
QUC @ APSU
76 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.8% more
Queens University: 2.9
vs
Austin Peay: 2.0
Steals (L5)
+18.4% more
Queens University: 8.4
vs
Austin Peay: 6.9
Turnovers (L5)
+8.5% more
Austin Peay: 11.1
vs
Queens University: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUC Score
77.0
90
APSU Score
76.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.1 / 34.8
27.0 / 44.0
Assists
15.9 / 14.9
16.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.0 / 2.9
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 47.7
48.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
76.8 / 77.5
61.0 / 40.0
Rebounding
33.3 / 33.2
43.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.9 / 8.4
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 10.2
10.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
APSU
Advantage
22-9-0
(71.0%)
Margin: 8.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
APSU
Advantage
14-14-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
APSU
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
APSU
QUC
APSU
QUC
ML
53%
16-14
71%
25-10
59%
16-11
71%
24-10
ATS
57%
17-13
86%
30-5
59%
16-11
71%
24-10
TTL
57%
17-13
47%
16-18-1
100%
27-0
100%
34-0
