Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Bears COPP @ MORG

COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

7-24  |  Road

66
FINAL
Thu, Mar 5 • 3:30 PM ET
Hill Field House
View Odds Details →

MORGAN STATE

BEARSMORG

14-16  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
27%
📊
BEARS
73%
EAGLES --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MORGAN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Morgan State)
EaglesCOPP (-3.5) 0 BearsMORG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

38.2%

Bears Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MORG -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MORG)

COPP By 1-7 points

21.6%

COPP By 8-14 points

10.7%

MORG By 1-7 points

27.2%

MORG By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
80
COPPIN STATE
83
MORGAN STATE
Simulated Score
COPPIN STATE
MORGAN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bears Win
73% Win Prob
A
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bears (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 5, 2026 COPP @ MORG 66 - 70
Jan 31, 2026 MORG @ COPP 89 - 80
Mar 6, 2025 MORG @ COPP 75 - 82
Jan 25, 2025 COPP @ MORG 64 - 80
Mar 7, 2024 COPP @ MORG 60 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +29.0% more
Morgan State: 15.0 vs Coppin State: 11.6
Rebounding (L5) +23.9% more
Morgan State: 36.8 vs Coppin State: 29.7
Free Throw % (L5) +16.1%
Morgan State: 77.7% vs Coppin State: 61.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.8%
Morgan State: 38.9% vs Coppin State: 29.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COPP Score 80.0 66
MORG Score 83.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.9 / 29.1 35.0 / 33.0
Assists 15.0 / 11.6 11.0 / 6.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.2 5.0 / 11.0
Field Goal % 43.0 / 45.0 40.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 77.7 / 61.7 75.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 36.8 / 29.7 40.0 / 42.0
Steals 3.3 / 6.0 5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 15.0 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
3%MONEY97%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
21%MONEY79%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
MORG Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
MORG Advantage
14-12-1 (53.8%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
MORG
16-11-0
O: 59.3% / U: 40.7% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MORG
COPP
MORG
COPP
ML
50% 14-14
65% 20-11
58% 14-10
79% 19-5
ATS
50% 14-14
68% 21-10
58% 14-10
79% 19-5
TTL
50% 14-14
52% 16-15
100% 24-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
UCLA's Unlikely Heroes: TaShawn James, Jalen Woods, and Semaj Mo…
si 5 days, 15 hours ago
Houston Cougars Survive Georgia Southern Scare: Offensive Firepo…
si 1 week, 4 days ago
DeVonta Smith's Star Turn Lifts Eagles Over Titans in Thrilling …
crossingbroad 2 weeks, 4 days ago
Southern Miss Adds Sharpshooter Elliot Tulip to Bolster Perimete…
si 2 weeks, 6 days ago
Baylor Position-by-Position Preview: Can the Bears Avenge Auburn…
si 1 month ago