TENNESSEE TECH
GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC
13-18 | Road
73
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
REDHAWKSSEMO
20-13 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
40%
REDHAWKS
60%
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SEMO +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEMO)
TNTC By 1-7 points
26.2%
TNTC By 8-14 points
16.9%
SEMO By 1-7 points
24.3%
SEMO By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Tennessee Tech
63
TENNESSEE TECH
Southeast Missouri State
62
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Simulated Score
Tennessee Tech
TENNESSEE TECH
Southeast Missouri State
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Eagles
Loss
40% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 125.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
TNTC @ SEMO
73 - 89
Dec 18, 2025
SEMO @ TNTC
74 - 85
Feb 15, 2025
TNTC @ SEMO
69 - 83
Jan 16, 2025
SEMO @ TNTC
77 - 70
Feb 8, 2024
TNTC @ SEMO
69 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.0%
Tennessee Tech: 82.3%
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 69.4%
Blocks (L5)
+58.6% more
Southeast Missouri State: 4.6
vs
Tennessee Tech: 2.9
Steals (L5)
+35.9% more
Southeast Missouri State: 7.0
vs
Tennessee Tech: 5.2
Assists (L5)
+16.5% more
Southeast Missouri State: 10.2
vs
Tennessee Tech: 8.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TNTC Score
63.0
73
SEMO Score
62.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.1 / 26.9
39.0 / 25.0
Assists
10.2 / 8.8
9.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.6 / 2.9
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.1 / 37.7
53.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
69.4 / 82.3
80.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 37.2
29.0 / 25.0
Steals
7.0 / 5.2
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 12.6
4.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TNTC
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
SEMO
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TNTC
Advantage
14-14-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
SEMO
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
SEMO
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEMO
TNTC
SEMO
TNTC
ML
64%
21-12
50%
15-15
50%
15-15
65%
15-8
ATS
67%
22-11
50%
15-15
50%
15-15
65%
15-8
TTL
58%
19-14
57%
17-13
100%
30-0
100%
23-0
