TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
21-15 | Road
76
TEXAS A&M
AGGIESTA&M
22-12 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
LONGHORNS
55%
AGGIES
45%
LONGHORNS
--
AGGIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Texas A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TA&M -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TA&M)
TEX By 1-7 points
20.1%
TEX By 8-14 points
9.3%
TA&M By 1-7 points
27.4%
TA&M By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
73
TEXAS
Texas A&M
77
TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
Texas
TEXAS
Texas A&M
TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Aggies
Loss
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Aggies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
TEX @ TA&M
76 - 70
Jan 17, 2026
TA&M @ TEX
74 - 70
Mar 13, 2025
TEX @ TA&M
94 - 89
Jan 25, 2025
TA&M @ TEX
69 - 70
Jan 4, 2025
TEX @ TA&M
60 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+108.1% more
Texas A&M: 16.4
vs
Texas: 7.9
Rebounding (L5)
+12.9% more
Texas A&M: 34.3
vs
Texas: 30.4
Turnovers (L5)
+11.5% more
Texas A&M: 11.2
vs
Texas: 10.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.9%
Texas: 77.1%
vs
Texas A&M: 67.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
73.0
76
TA&M Score
77.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 42.1
26.0 / 33.0
Assists
16.4 / 7.9
10.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.1 / 2.1
5.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 50.2
38.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
67.2 / 77.1
83.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 30.4
32.0 / 41.0
Steals
4.5 / 4.9
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 10.1
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
TA&M
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
TA&M
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TA&M
TEX
TA&M
TEX
ML
67%
20-10
58%
21-15
54%
15-13
56%
19-15
ATS
67%
20-10
56%
20-16
54%
15-13
56%
19-15
TTL
70%
21-9
64%
23-13
100%
28-0
100%
34-0
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