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NORFOLK STATE

SPARTANSNORF

15-17  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 11:55 AM ET
Physical Education Complex
View Odds Details →

COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

7-24  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
68%
📊
EAGLES
32%
SPARTANS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 35%
Under 0 65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COPPIN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Coppin State)
SpartansNORF (-3.5) 0 EaglesCOPP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spartans Cover

46.0%

Eagles Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COPP -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COPP)

NORF By 1-7 points

24.3%

NORF By 8-14 points

13.7%

COPP By 1-7 points

26.2%

COPP By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
66
NORFOLK STATE
67
COPPIN STATE
Simulated Score
NORFOLK STATE
COPPIN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Loss
32% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (+8) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 NORF @ COPP 75 - 69
Jan 24, 2026 COPP @ NORF 76 - 103
Feb 22, 2025 NORF @ COPP 79 - 63
Jan 11, 2025 COPP @ NORF 69 - 92
Mar 13, 2024 COPP @ NORF 51 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +26.3% more
Coppin State: 16.6 vs Norfolk State: 13.1
Blocks (L5) +13.7% more
Coppin State: 4.1 vs Norfolk State: 3.6
Rebounding (L5) +12.5% more
Coppin State: 33.8 vs Norfolk State: 30.0
Steals (L5) +33.5% more
Norfolk State: 8.7 vs Coppin State: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NORF Score 66.0 75
COPP Score 67.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.8 / 44.7 22.0 / 32.0
Assists 10.2 / 12.8 14.0 / 7.0
Blocks 4.1 / 3.6 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 43.7 / 52.7 37.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 62.7 / 69.5 68.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 33.8 / 30.0 33.0 / 28.0
Steals 5.8 / 8.7 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 16.6 / 13.1 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NORF Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NORF Advantage
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
COPP
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1% Total +/-: +4.6
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COPP
NORF
COPP
NORF
ML
65% 20-11
67% 20-10
79% 19-5
71% 20-8
ATS
68% 21-10
63% 19-11
79% 19-5
72% 21-8
TTL
52% 16-15
60% 18-12
100% 24-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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