Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Hurricanes BC @ MIA

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

11-20  |  Road

54
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 9:10 AM ET
Watsco Center
View Odds Details →

MIAMI

HURRICANESMIA

26-9  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
23%
📊
HURRICANES
77%
EAGLES --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Miami)
EaglesBC (-3.5) 0 HurricanesMIA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

46.0%

Hurricanes Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)

BC By 1-7 points

24.3%

BC By 8-14 points

13.7%

MIA By 1-7 points

26.2%

MIA By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
68
BOSTON COLLEGE
69
MIAMI
Simulated Score
BOSTON COLLEGE
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes Win
77% Win Prob
A
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
C
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 BC @ MIA 54 - 76
Feb 7, 2026 MIA @ BC 74 - 68
Jan 1, 2025 MIA @ BC 68 - 78
Mar 12, 2024 MIA @ BC 65 - 81
Mar 6, 2024 BC @ MIA 67 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +100.0% more
Miami: 7.1 vs Boston College: 3.6
Turnovers (L5) +38.8% more
Miami: 12.4 vs Boston College: 8.9
Blocks (L5) +13.2% more
Miami: 3.3 vs Boston College: 2.9
Field Goal % (L5) +7.9%
Miami: 49.5% vs Boston College: 41.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BC Score 68.0 54
MIA Score 69.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.1 / 31.1 35.0 / 23.0
Assists 13.3 / 13.0 15.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.9 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 49.5 / 41.7 50.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 69.6 / 64.5 61.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 35.4 35.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.1 / 3.6 14.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 8.9 11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
MIA Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BC
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
MIA Advantage
18-15-1 (54.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
BC
MIA
BC
ML
63% 22-13
61% 19-12
64% 21-12
61% 17-11
ATS
63% 22-13
73% 22-8-1
64% 21-12
61% 17-11
TTL
63% 22-13
61% 19-12
100% 33-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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